郭思治: 大市持續大幅急跌 技術上已處超賣中
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市繼本周一(14日)大幅急跌1,022點之後,昨天(15日)再大幅急挫,恆指昨早市先大幅低開600點至18,931點,其後再進一步受壓,惟低位有買盤開始滲著湧現,大市卒伺機快速反彈至19,392點,但高台買盤卻步,加上沽壓又再陣陣而來,故整個大市又再掉頭回落,恆指於午後3點左右更一度急跌1,296點至18,235點,相對本月1日之高位為22,937點計,即本月大市之波幅已擴闊至4,702點,單從技術上看,大市之跌勢確實稍偏促,如退一步看,大市自2月10日高位25,050點開始之下跌,至3月15日低位18,235點止計,在短短一個多月內,恆指已大幅急挫達6,815點,如以此計,大市該已身處超賣中,只是目前在眾多利淡因素困擾下,暫欠反彈的藥引及借口。
目前一眾新經濟股均已跌至年內之低位,如騰訊(00700.HK)昨一度低見297元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)亦曾低見71元,美團(03690.HK)更一度低見103.50元,由於上述三隻新經濟股均是重磅恆指成份股,故一旦此三隻股份仍未能止跌回穩前,整個大市仍將持續處反覆欲試底之弱態中,從技術上看,由於相關股份之光環已不再,故即使能偶作反彈,但暫可能只屬有波幅而無升幅,有反彈而無大升之技術性後抽而已。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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