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《即日市評》恆指本週累跌逾6% 匯控渣打今續受壓
俄烏戰事持續,港股今日期結算日反覆向下。美總統拜登布對俄新一輪制裁,但重申美不會與俄羅斯開戰,美股昨現「大奇?日」,道指及納指各倒升0.3%及3.4%,俄羅斯RTS指數回升逾19%,MOEX俄羅斯指數反彈近14%。執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.942釐,美匯指數升至97.15,美股道指期貨最新跌338點或1%,納指期貨最新跌1.3%。 人行進行逆回購3,000億人民幣(錄單週淨投放規模7,600億人民幣,逾兩年最高)上證綜指全日升21點或0.63%收3,451點,深證成指升1.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.02萬億人民幣。 恆指先升後回,今早高開6點,早段一度高見23,046點,其後一度倒跌183點曾低見22,718點,最終全日跌134點或0.59%,收22,767點;國指跌39點或0.49%,收7,991點;恆生科技指數升42點或0.84%,收5,112點。大市全日成交總額1,427億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入18.51億及21.59億元。 恆指本週累跌1,560點或6.4%、國指本週累跌546點或6.4%、恆生科指本週累跌367點或6.7%。市場關注俄烏局勢,週中俄羅斯總統普京承認烏克蘭東部兩個親俄武裝控制地區頓涅茨克及盧甘斯克獨立,俄羅斯於昨日展開軍事行動,並指正使用精確制導武器摧毀烏克蘭軍事設施和航空部隊,令局勢急轉直下。 【俄烏戰事持續 金融股有沽壓】 市場關注西方國家制裁俄羅斯或令通脹升溫、左右美聯儲局未來加息步伐。國際金融股受壓,匯控(00005.HK)股價下滑近2.5%收54.75元,渣打(02888.HK)股價走低3.1%收55.55元。 建銀國際發表報告表示,俄羅斯與烏克蘭衝突會對流動性狀況產生影響。隨着通脹繼續飆升,市場對近期大幅收緊貨幣政策的前景越來越擔心,市場參與者就價格變動的可能性展開了辯論。延長對俄羅斯制裁的前景,很可能通過大宗商品價格對通脹產生溢出效應,在中期內加大鷹派的壓力。制裁引發的大宗商品價格衝擊,可能會在短期內使通脹高於最初預期,持續的時間也會更長。 在短期內,地緣政治的不確定性可能導致收緊政策的壓力比預期要小。消息傳出後,期貨市場預計3月份加息50個基點的可能性從34%降至11%,現在預計基準利率年底將從2%降至1.75%。總體而言,該行認爲俄烏衝突和隨後的制裁可能會導致一個更長的但不那麼激進的加息週期。 【升股錄一千隻 電力股逆市揚】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率爲25比15(上日爲6比38),上升股份1,004只(升幅2.8%),恆指成份股今日25只股份上升,下跌股份37只,升跌比率爲39比58(上日爲8比91);大市今日錄沽空246.11億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,170.93億的21.018%(上日爲20.074%)。 內地電力股成資金避險目標,華能國電(00902.HK)及中國電力(02380.HK)股價各急升13.8%及12.1%,華潤電力(00836.HK)、大唐發電(00991.HK)及華電國電(01071.HK)各升7.2%至8.4。(wl/a) ~
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