隔夜美股全覆盤 | 太刺激!俄對烏閃電戰,歐洲天然氣狂漲30%,美股卻暴力反彈?納指振幅超6%
昨夜美股在俄羅斯對烏克蘭軍事打擊,幾個小時時間便部分控制基輔,烏克蘭潰不成軍等重大利空下大幅低開,道指低開超800點,納指低開超3%,市場避險情緒高漲,美債收益率大跌,科技明星股特斯拉一度跌超6%。但在歐洲央行官員Holzmann講話表態烏克蘭衝突可能會推遲央行退出刺激政策,美國宣佈對俄進行嚴厲制裁但北約和美國不會派駐部隊進入烏克蘭,G7會議聲明隨時採取必要行動,以應對潛在的油氣中斷後,美股股指暴力拉昇。
截至收盤,標普收漲1.50%,道指漲0.28%,納指漲3.34%,盤中振幅高達近7%。美國10年期國債收益率由跌7%轉至跌0.7%,收報1.972%,恐慌指數VIX高開18%後一路回落,收跌2.26%。國際油價一度飆升9%,自2014年以來首次突破100美元大關。歐洲天然氣一度飆升50%,黃金漲超3%。
覆盤1990年以來美國直接或間接參與的6次戰爭(包括海灣戰爭、伊拉克戰爭、敍利亞內戰等)可發現,地緣衝突長期並不改變美股牛熊,更多是在關鍵節點上的短期衝擊。美國涉及越深,美股反映越大,時間越長,如伊拉克和阿富汗戰爭。從昨晚盤面走勢來看,市場認為此次俄烏衝突對美國經濟不會造成長期惡劣影響,並且此前擔憂的通脹等核心問題有所緩解,因而出現大奇跡日似的反轉。
大型科技股普遍收漲。蘋果漲1.67%,開盤跌近4%,消息稱iPhone15或將搭載蘋果自研5G基帶芯片,量產時採用台積電4nm工藝;Iphone SE3即將發佈。特斯拉大漲4.81%,振幅超10%,上海工廠提升零部件產能項目公示,預計2月底完工,德國超級工廠據報最快3月中投產。微軟漲5.51%,根據網絡分析機構StatCounter近日提供的一份報吿的數據,微軟Edge的市場份額即將超過Safari,拿下全球第二的位置。亞馬遜漲4.51%,谷歌漲3.99%,Meta漲4.61%,扎克伯格表示Meta正在為元宇宙研發AI語音助手。
行業板塊方面,太陽能和鈾板塊漲幅居前,分別漲14%、9%。半導體板塊普漲,費城半導體指數SOXX漲3.66%,英偉達、AMD等明星芯片股均漲超6%。熱門中概股漲跌不一,阿里巴巴收跌0.72%,盤前發佈Q4財報,營收增速放緩趨勢明顯,盤前一度跌超8%,創5年新低;京東漲0.52%;拼多多跌1.47%。貝殼漲1.77%,華泰證券首次覆蓋貝殼並給予“買入”評級,目標價26美元。電車新勢力方面,蔚來漲3.71%,小鵬漲1.02%,理想跌0.87%。富途控股漲3.11%,擬於美東時間3月11日發佈21Q4及全年未經審計財報。


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