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A股收評:俄烏開戰,A股受累!深成指、創業板指跌2%,油氣、黃金股逆勢走強

2月24日,俄烏戰爭影響資本市場,滬指盤中一度跌2.5%,深成指、創業板指更是挫逾3%。截止收盤,滬指跌1.7%,深成指跌2.2%,創業板指跌2.1%。滬深兩市今日成交額13627億,較上個交易日放量3218億,午後市場成交量明顯放大。兩市650股上漲,3950股下跌,成交額1.3萬億,北上資金淨賣出33.58億元。

行業板塊普遍下跌,數字貨幣、元宇宙、區塊鏈、網絡遊戲、國產軟件等概念重挫靠前,用友網絡跌5%;白酒股延續近期弱勢,瀘州老窖跌超4%,茅台、五糧液跌超3%。早盤表現強勁的油氣、黃金股午後加速拉昇,首華燃氣、湖南黃金等股漲停,中國石油漲4%;軍工股午後飆升,洪都航空漲近6%。

油氣板塊全天強勢。恆泰艾普、首華燃氣、淮油股份、貝肯能源漲停,通源石油漲超15%,潛能恆信漲超11%,仁智股份逼近漲停。

俄羅斯對烏克蘭正式發動軍事攻擊,油價上漲4%以上。其中,美國原油期貨價格上漲4.73%,報每桶96.46美元;布倫特原油期貨價格上漲4.69%,達到每桶101.93美元,自2014年以來首次突破100美元。

貴金屬板塊強勢走高。西部黃金、湖南黃金、金貴銀業漲停,中金黃金漲超8%,山東黃金、赤峯黃金漲超7%。

受俄烏戰爭影響,避險情緒進一步發酵,現貨黃金短線走高10美元,上破1940美元/盎司,帶動貴金屬板塊持續拉昇。

受俄烏開戰的消息影響,國防軍工午後發力上攻。天和防務漲停,新餘國科漲超15%,晨曦航空漲超11%,天海防務漲超10%,奧維通信漲停,新研股份漲超9%。

中信建投研報指出,2022年初以來,中證軍工指數快速下跌了近20%,板塊估值得到了充分消化,高性價比更加凸顯。

俄烏戰爭導致穀物價格大漲,農業板塊表現活躍。蘇墾農發、金健米業漲超7%,北大荒漲超4%,豐樂種業、荃銀高科、登海種業等跟漲。

國泰君安稱,俄羅斯和烏克蘭是全球最主要的穀物出口國,俄烏戰爭導致CBOT小麥上漲17%,玉米上漲10%,大豆上漲8%。在戰爭沒有明確緩和信號出來之前,預計穀物價格整體維持強勢,國內重點關注玉米、澱粉價格超預期波動風險,油脂、生豬、白糖、棉花等重要農產品價格也會受到波及。

數字貨幣板塊重挫居前,雄帝科技跌逾12%,科創信息跌逾11%,先進數通、旗天科技跌逾10%,翠微股份、恆寶股份跌停。創識科技跌逾9%。

日前,中國人民銀行數字貨幣研究所創新部總經理呂遠表示:“我們支持各種支付方式協調發展,數字人民幣將和傳統電子支付工具長期並存。”此外,數字貨幣板塊在冬奧會期間漲幅亮眼,同花順數字貨幣指數漲超14%,板塊或許存在回調的壓力。

東數西算板塊集體下挫。初靈信息跌逾12%,零點有數、科創信息、首都在線跌逾11%,南凌科技跌逾11%,迪威迅、旗天科技跌逾10%。

由於板塊從2月18日至2月23日累積漲幅近19%,回調趨勢或已開始。華泰證券認為,東數西算全面啟動,意味着數字基建迎來長期(技術)+中期(景氣)+短期(政策)三重邏輯共振。重點關注數據中心及其上游的服務器+光模塊,基站設備及其上游的PCB。

NFT板塊全天弱勢。浙數文化跌停,博瑞傳播、湯姆貓、曲江文旅、四方精創跌逾9%,安妮股份跌逾7%。

遊戲板塊延續近期弱勢。湯姆貓跌逾9%,中青寶、朗瑪信息跌/7%,星輝娛樂、盛天網絡、三七互娛跌逾6%。

 北向資金方面,北上資金淨流入億元,其中滬股通淨流入億元,深股通淨流入億元

展望後市,國盛證券研報認為,兩市指數前期調整風險釋放較為充分,短期已進入橫盤震盪階段,需時間換空間,量能雖然不足,但是是市場震盪築底的特徵之一,耐心等待市場不確定減少,同時重塑做多預期,或將迎來一波反彈行情。操作上,當前只要指數不再創新低,維持區間震盪格局,就可積極關注市場熱點,把握板塊輪動節奏,控制倉位謹慎做多。可重點關注東數西算概念、基建、鹽湖提鋰、鄉村振興等板塊機會。

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