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植耀輝: 地緣因素續發酵 恆指恐續試底
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股在總統日假期後復市,惟繼續受到俄烏局勢影響,隔晚(22日)美股持續出現大幅波動,道指便一度大跌逾700點,尾市跌幅雖收窄,但全日計仍下跌482點或1.4%,收報33,596點,至於納指及標普500指數跌幅亦超過1%。 回說港股方面,受俄烏局勢拖累,加上新經濟股持續受壓,匯控(00005.HK)及恆生(00011.HK)業績表現亦未見驚喜,恆指大跌超過650點,考驗23,500點支持。恆生銀行大跌10%,業績表現及派息遜預期,加上成本效益比轉弱,成爲股價大跌主因。相比之下,匯控股價下跌3.5%已不算多矣!至於友邦(01299.HK)及港交所(00388.HK)亦分別下跌3.9%及2.9%。 新經濟股則個別發展,騰訊(00700.HK)尾市收復失地,僅微跌0.1%,不過阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)卻下跌3%及5%。另外燃氣股亦大跌,新奧能源(02688.HK)大跌11%,爲恆指成份股表現最差股份。 由於市場依然充斥不明朗因素,恐怕短期內大市依然維持弱勢。不過關鍵仍在於地緣局勢能否轉趨明朗。由於至今事態發展仍持續發酵,故筆者對後市看法仍未樂觀,反而一旦市場再有不利消息,恆指或須進一步考驗一月時低位,亦即22,700點水平。建議投資者現階段還是持盈保泰較佳。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) *********** 港股於小雙頂頸線附近尋找支持 耀才證券研究部團隊稱,隔晚(22日)美股未能止瀉,道指及納指連跌第四個交易日,美國正式對俄羅斯實施第一波制裁,拖累大市氣氛,道指最多跌逾700點;金龍中國指數跌4%。憂慮制裁影響俄羅斯對外出口,布蘭特期油曾升至每桶99.5美元,是2014年9月以來最高水平,將有利油股表現。港股步入業績公佈期,藍籌當中,銀娛(00027.HK)今日(23日)公佈業績,創科(00669.HK)主要客戶家得寶(HD.US)預期今年銷售增長放緩,隔晚於美市跌近9%。九毛九(09922.HK)發盈喜預期去年純利不少於3.3億元人民幣,按年增幅不低於1.66倍。 技術走勢方面,恆指昨日下試自1月及2月形成的小雙頂頸線位置23,469點,不過收市前出現反彈未有正式跌穿,目前需於該水平整固尋找支持,需小心如果正式跌穿的話技術調整可能較深。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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