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吊打新勢力!比亞迪衝擊漲停後怎麼看?
格隆匯 02-07 12:24

27日,A股虎年第一個交易日,汽車板塊打出了個漂亮的開門紅,中馬傳動漲停,恆立實業漲近10%,英博爾漲6.9%,新朋股份等跟漲,其中,國產電動車老大哥比亞迪一度衝擊漲停,開盤就大幅拉昇。

除了開年情緒加成外,比亞迪最新公佈的產銷數據也給了市場很大的信心。

2月6日,比亞迪發佈了2022年1月產銷快報。快報披露,2022年1月,比亞迪汽車批發銷售95,422輛,同比增長125.0%,環比略減3.7%。其中,新能源汽車93,168輛,同比增長361.7%,環比略減0.8%;燃油車2,254輛,同比減少89.9%,環比減少56.4%。此外,公司1月新能源汽車動力電池及儲能電池裝機總量約為4.770GWh,同比增長171.9%。

相較於風頭正盛的造車新勢力們,比亞迪新能源車可以説是以一當十,新勢力們還在為交付量破萬而沾沾自喜時,2022年1月比亞迪新能源乘用車銷量達92,926輛,遠超造車新勢力2021年1月交付量總和。

雖然比亞迪1月整體銷量環比下滑,但情有可原,因為春節前為汽車市場傳統淡季,再加上新能源汽車補貼退坡從1月開始施行,消費者購車意願前置,影響了1月銷售情況。並且和造車新勢力們比,1月銷量環比減少0.8%,已是微乎其微,更別提比亞迪新能源乘用車在這大淡季還創下了月銷量的新高,同比增長367.6%,環比增長0.1%。 

在新能源汽車銷量節節高升的同時,比亞迪的燃油車銷量大幅降低,燃油車銷量佔比僅有2.36%,較去年同期下降超50%,公司的的電動化效果明顯,有望成為首個全面電動化的傳統汽車廠商。

並且2022年2月1日開始,比亞迪還開始上調旗下新能源車的價格,向上發力,高端車型漢系列月銷再度破萬,達1.28萬輛,大大的提升了比亞迪的品牌形象,向高端化改善。海豚銷量也連續兩月破萬,隨着量和價的提升,若芯片等供應問題得以解決,比亞迪業績有望獲得新突破。

安信證券發佈研報稱,比亞迪1月份銷量超預期,並且秦、唐、宋、漢系列車型均表現優異,同時新車型豐富,保障了2022銷量的高增長,結合車型定價策略調整,認為2022盈利加速向上,給予買入評級。 

申萬宏源證券則全面看多中國汽車工業的崛起,認為整車及供應鏈在此次商業模式和競爭關係的重構中都將獲得極大的增長,正在積極轉型中的比亞迪有望受益。

據開源證券測算,2021年我國新能源汽車銷量352.1萬輛,比亞迪59.5萬輛,佔比16.90%2022年新能源汽車乘用車銷量有望突破550萬,按照20%-25%計算,比亞迪新能源汽車2022年銷量預計110-137.5萬輛。其中,比亞迪DM車型銷量達46540台,EV車型銷量達46386台。2022年插混車型銷量有望逐步超過純電車型銷量。作為壁壘高環節龍頭,比亞迪有望長期受益。

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