《即日市評》美聯儲局放「鷹」 阿里創新低 匯控獨力難支
美聯儲局放「鷹」,港股今日受壓。美聯儲局將聯儲基金指標利率維持在零至0.25厘區間,符預期,指會在3月結束買債計劃,並很快適當地提高聯邦基金利率,聯儲局主席鮑威爾不排除每次會議都加息可能性,美股道指昨跌0.4%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.844厘,美匯指數升至96.79,美股道指期貨最新跌155點或0.46%,納指期貨最新跌0.3%。內地去年12月規模以上工業企業實現利潤總額按年增4.2%,上證綜指全日跌61點或1.8%收3,394點、深證成指跌2.8%,內地創業板指數跌3.3%,滬深兩市成交額降至8,229億人民幣。
恆指低開337點後跌幅擴大,午後曾跌724點一度低見23,565點,尾市跌幅略為收窄,全日跌482點或1.99%,收23,807點;國指跌220點或2.6%,收8,291點;恆生科技指數跌213點或3.81%,收5,383點。大市全日成交總額1,334.9億元。滬、深港通南向交易今日起暫停直至2月7日(即年初七)恢復。匯控(00005.HK)股價逆市漲1.4%。
【阿里創新低 美團有沽壓】
科網股受壓,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價挫7.2%收108.5元創新低,騰訊(00700.HK)跌2.2%,美團(03690.HK)股價下滑6.9%。瑞信發表報告指出,近期透過內地外賣傳送代理了解到,受新冠疫情重燃(對偏遠城市影響較大)、騎手短缺(特別在大城市及華南地區)及相關補貼縮減的影響,內地近期外賣訂單呈放緩,估計行業增長逐漸放緩,但訂單頻率進一步增加將繼續成為支撐增長的主要動力。
里昂發表報告指,宏觀因素將繼續對美團今年首季業績造成壓力,但考慮到市場競爭有限及新業務虧損或見頂,相信宏觀市況一旦改善,外賣及到店業務有望迅速恢復,重申「買入」評級,目標價370元。
【沽空率攀升 內房股受壓】
港股今日主板市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為8比35(上日為21比19),下跌股份1,484隻(跌幅3.1%),恆指成份股17隻股份上升,下跌股份44隻,升跌比率為27比69(上日為53比39);大市錄沽空285.99億元,佔可沽空股份成1,104.63億元的25.891%(上日為20.436%)。
內房股受壓,時代中國(01233.HK)折讓17%配股淨籌3.94億元,股價下瀉26.8%報3元。中國恆大(03333.HK)力爭半年內提出初步重組方案,該股全日跌3.4%,
教育股向下,中教(00839.HK)及新東方在線(01797.HK)股價各挫24.1%及14.7%,希望教育(01765.HK)挫12.8%。瑞信發表報告指,過去兩天職業教育板塊遭遇拋售,市場擔心內地或收緊併購擴張並遏制學費加價,而學費定價權和併購步伐一直是投資者最關心的問題之一。對於學費價格,職業教育公司將提高質量放在首位,同時淡化市場對加價的預期,目標是保持中低單位數增長。該行見到目前投資者對併購放緩的擔憂,加上隨著監管機構提高教育質量標準,收購後的管理可能會是另一個問題。(wl/u)
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