郭思治: 大市似欲再伺機上試100天線
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過前日一輪高臺整固後,昨天(12日)再進一步大幅上升,恆指昨早市先大幅高開330點至24,069點,即此刻大市已重越50天線(24047點),其後在買盤持續涌現下,大市升勢越來越急,恆指最後更以全日最高位收市,恆指報收24,402點,較上日大升663點,全日總成交金額爲1,536億元,從走勢上看,大市既已進一步重越50天線(24,047點),且恆指更以全日最高位收市,該表示整個反彈勢頭仍可持續,單從移動線方面之走勢看,大市目前正欲進一步上試100天線(24,667點)。
經昨天之急升,本月大市在先低後高之形態主導下,恆指暫是由6日之低位22,709點升至12日之高位24,402點,即月內之波幅現已擴闊至1,693點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於5個交易日之內,故在本月餘下之交易日,理論上該有更大之波幅點出現,以昨天恆指高收至24,402點計,大市該有條件再進一步往上尋月內新高。
有一點可見到,昨天一衆新經濟股已開始轉強,騰訊(00700.HK)急升20.8元至480.8元,阿裏-SW(09988.HK)亦急升7.4元至133元,美團-W(03690.HK)則急升19元至227元,而京東-SW(9618.HK)更急升30.2元至305.20元,單從上述多隻新經濟股之表現看,明顯見到好倉大戶已手執主控權,論形勢,頗有挾淡倉之味道。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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