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《即日市評》恆指回勇 阿裏急彈逾一成 濠賭股舞高
受科網及金融股帶動下,港股今日回升。人行下調存款準備金率,加上美國衛生官員就新冠Omicron變種的言論消除市場憂慮,美股道指及納指昨各升1.9%及0.9%,執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.442釐,美匯指數處96.21,美股道指期貨最新升306點或0.87%,納指期貨最新升1.5%。中國11月按美元計出口按年增22%、進口升31.7%,同勝預期,上證綜指全日升5點或0.16%收3,595點、深證成指跌0.38%,滬深兩市成交額共1.2萬億人民幣。 恆指高開355點,早段升幅曾收窄至163點,其後升幅再度擴大,並以接近全日高位收市,升634點或2.72%,收23,983點;國指升252點或3.05%,收8,527點;恆生科技指數升241點或4.21%,收5,968點。大市全日成交總額1,534.47億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入11.59億及29.62億元人民幣。 【阿裏彈一成 濠賭股走高】 科網股反彈,阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價彈12.2%收126.5,美團(03690.HK)股價揚5.8%,而騰訊(00700.HK)股價走高3.6%。瑞銀髮表報告,料大部分中國ADR將從美國退市,要求其提交審計報告的期限可能縮短一年。根據美國證券交易委員會(SEC)提議的規則,該行料大多數大型中概股能夠將其上市地位過渡到香港,估計69家公司,佔所有美國上市中概股總市值的98%,200家左右不符合重新上市資格的大多是小市值公司,它們可能會面臨技術性拋售壓力。 濠賭股走高,金沙中國(01928.HK)股價彈6.2%收18.16元,銀娛(00027.HK)股價揚3.4%。大和發表報告料港澳與廣東省旅遊氣泡或本月底至明年首季落實,屆時來自香港的遊客數量最初會有上限,然後在明年上半年進一步放寬,對濠賭業正面。該行維持對博彩行業的積極立場,認爲目前賭股仍然超賣,建議投資者收集VIP業務敞口較小及資產負債表強勁的優質澳門博彩公司。 【升股千二隻 融創奧園彈】 港股今日主板市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率爲29比12(上日爲10比32),上升股份1,226只(升幅3.2%);恆指成份股今日50只股份上升,下跌股份9只,升跌比率爲78比14(上日爲34比57);大市今日錄沽空227.92億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,303.23億元的17.489%(上日19.216%)。 部份內房股抽上,融創中國(01918.HK)股價上揚16.8%,奧園(03883.HK)及雅居樂(03383.HK)股價各升12.8%及6.5%。中金髮表報告指出,中共中央政治局於昨(6日)召開會議分析研究2022年經濟工作,本次會議對房地產問題的表態時點、內容、級別均超預期,最高層政策態度已明朗,後續政策力度可預期,雖然基本面因高基數原因在未來幾個月按年增速仍不會顯着修復,但從環比意義而言,最差的時候可能即將過去。未來一段時間不排除仍有部分中小企業出現流動性問題,但不會影響行業的觸底回升大勢。當前地產開發及物業管理板塊估值均低,風險收益高,具備配置價值,建議投資者積極佈局。 摩根士丹利發表報告,預計內地將有更多逆週期措施出臺,支持房地產市場逐步恢復,並在明年迎來拐點,明年下半年重拾增長。該行料大多數內房開發商有望在明年底前達到人行要求的「三條紅線」,從而降低行業的槓桿率和風險。
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