《即日市評》美聯儲考慮加快「收水」 港股止連跌 匯控造好
恆指連跌三日(累跌1,264點或5.1%)後,今日受科網及金融股帶動下回升。美聯儲局主席鮑威爾表示通脹升溫風險上升,聯儲局很可能會討論加快縮小買債計劃規模,指目前或是適當時間停用「短暫」措辭來形容高通脹,並認爲現適宜考慮提早數個月完成減少買債行動;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.505釐,美匯指數升至96.11,美股道指期貨最新升173點或0.5%,納指期貨最新升1.1%。內地昨新增本土確診病例91例均在內蒙古,中國11月財新製造業PMI降至49.9(市場原預期50.6),上證綜指全日升13點或0.4%收3,576點、深證成指跌0.01%,滬深兩市成交額共1.15萬億人民幣。
恆指今早高開120點後升幅擴大,一度漲389點高見23,864點,午後升幅收窄,全日收報23,658點,升183點或0.8%;國指升57點或0.7%,報8,426點;恆生科技指數升30點或0.5%,報6,058點。大市全日成交總額回落至1,394.9億元。滬、深港通南下交易全日分別淨流入4.38億及23.02億元。
部份濠賭股續受壓,金沙中國(01928.HK)及銀娛(00027.HK)股價各跌4.2%及2.9%,永利澳門(01128.HK)挫8.6%。
【美擬提早收水 濠賭股續弱】
騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價上揚2%,美團(03690.HK)股價揚2.8%收244.6元。高盛發表報告指,美團管理層仍相信,在近期宏觀經濟疲軟情況有所改善後,公司業務可重回增長軌道,並重申至2025年每張訂單EBIT達1元人民幣,以及日均外賣訂單達到1億張的長期目標,並預期至2025年到店、酒店和旅遊業務收入複合年增長率可達25%。
高盛指,美團第三季核心業務經營穩固,但由於去年較高基數影響,第四季目標較疲弱,公司預期外送業務訂單量增長將由第三季的25%,放緩至十數個百分點,同時估計未來半年補貼水平將下降。該行維持對美團的「買入」評級,目標價爲312元。
【市寬呈改善 匯控渣打揚】
港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率爲21比20(上日爲14比28);恆指成份股今日31只股份上升,下跌股份27只,升跌比率爲31比27(上日爲10比90);大市今日錄沽空203.7億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,140.6億元的17.9%(上日15.3%)。
匯控(00005.HK)全日股價漲1.3%收43.5元,中銀香港(02388.HK)及渣打(02888.HK)股價各升1.1%及1.7%。花旗發表報告指出,市場預期美國明年6月起可能加息,對淨息差影響正面,而香港銀行對息口敏感,基於市場對內房的憂慮,部分被該行揀選的香港銀行股價已跌至接近新冠疫情及2015年的低位,隨着美國10年期債息上升,爲銀行股提供了一個吸引的購買機會。在香港銀行股中,花旗首選匯控,因其已宣佈回購股份計劃及提升盈利能力,指其估值吸引。
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