大行每日評級 | 招銀國際維持愛康醫療買入評級

1.招銀國際:維持愛康醫療(01789)“買入”評級 目標價上調至11.45港元
招銀國際發佈研究報告稱,維持愛康醫療(01789)“買入”評級,下調2021-23年純利預測4%/11%/2%,以反映帶量採購的影響,但對長期增長前景樂觀,預計其全面的產品組合及強大研發能力將帶動業績在22年後恢復高增長,目標價上調至11.45港元。
該行稱,關節產品全國帶量採購結果昨日(14日)公佈,產品平均降價82%,符合該行預期。愛康醫療在帶量採購中全部四類初次髖膝關節系統產品相關競標程序成功中標,相信集團在再分配市場的佔有率將有龐大增長空間。而集團3D產品有強大創新能力,相信將持續發展3D產品。
2.國元國際:維持龍源電力(00916)“買入”評級 目標價升至20.7港元
國元國際發佈研究報告稱,維持龍源電力(00916)“買入”評級,目標價提高至20.7港元,相當於2021年和2022年24倍和20.5倍PE,目標價較現價有22%上升空間。
國元國際主要觀點如下:
2021年上半年公司盈利同比增長37.7%:
2021H1,公司業績穩健增長,實現營業收入178.77億元,同比增長25.7%;實現歸母淨利潤44.2億元,同比增長37.7%;從分部收入,風電收入分別爲127.38億元,同比增長20.2%;主要是風電裝機容量及利用小時數增長帶動風電銷售量同比增加及風電平均上網電價提高所致;火電收入48.26億元,同比增長44.9%;主要是全社會用電量需求增加及平均售電價格上漲推動公司售電量同比增長及全球煤炭價格上漲,煤炭銷售增加所致。
裝機容量、發電小時數提升驅動經營現金流大幅改善:
2021H1,公司經營性現金流大幅增加,經營活動現金流淨額爲79.96億元,較去年同期增長45.93億元,主要是:
1)裝機容量和發電小時數的提升推動公司售電收入大幅增加,同比增加26.23億元;
2)公司資產證券化產品規模的增加;
3)全球煤價高漲,公司煤炭銷售現金收入增加11.47億元;
4)工資支付及增值稅同比減少5.76億元。
2021年1-8月累計發電量同比增長21.86%:
2021年8月公司完成發電量3926861兆瓦時,同比減少0.21%。其中,風電減少6.83%,火電增長11.55%;2021年1-8月公司累計完成發電量41852.4吉瓦時,同比增長21.86%。其中,風電累計完成發電量33799吉瓦時,同比增長20.35%;火電累計完成發電量7413.4吉瓦時,同比增長32.27%,其他可再生能源發電量累計完成發電量640.0吉瓦時,同比增長160.82%。2021年8月公司限電率爲3.01%,去年同期爲3.43%。
3.瑞信:首予優然牧業(09858)“跑贏大市”評級 目標價7.5港元
瑞信發佈研究報告稱,首予優然牧業(09858)“跑贏大市”評級,目標價7.5港元,公司與伊利的密切關係,應有助於支撐穩定的原料奶需求,能應對與原料奶價格相關的外部波動影響。
報告中稱,公司是中國上遊乳品市場的領導者,涵蓋各業務板塊的綜合業務模式,包括原奶生產、飼料、育種和反芻動物養殖產品市場。該行認爲,公司有能力繼續擴大其畜羣規模,隨着未來兩年跨部門協同效應和原奶價格上漲,在強勁的下遊需求的支持下,推動牛奶產量預期,應該轉化2020-23年的收入年複合增長率有17-19%(high-teen)。
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