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透析13F:華爾街股神們的持倉祕密

來源:中信證券

截至8月中下旬,美國13F投資機構2021Q2持倉數據全部披露完畢。

根據中信證券對美國前300家13F投資機構的前50大重倉股的統計分析,Q2樣本投資機構美股重倉持股規模環比Q1提升7.5%至16.07萬億美元。

Q2科技、醫藥等成長板塊重獲美國投資機構關注;傳統經濟板塊持倉則顯著分化,受益於油價持續上漲的能源板塊以及大金融板塊重倉金額持續提升,而工業和公用事業板塊則遭減配。

個股層面上,剔除股價上漲因素後,科技、醫藥、金融等板塊個股仍獲投資機構較大幅度的實際增配,富國、禮來、Paypal實際增配金額分別約達169/151/73億美元。

Q2美國主要投資機構對美股持倉環比提升7.5%

對美國前300家13F投資機構的前50大重倉股的統計分析,Q2樣本投資機構美股重倉持股規模合計達到16.07萬億美元,環比Q1提升7.5%。

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Q2頭部管理人與Q1保持一致,Vanguard/ BlackRock/ State Street/ FMR/ T Rowe Price美股持倉規模分別達到15455/13007/8159/5626/5160億美元,繼續佔據前五,前五大頭部管理人持倉金額環比提升幅度分別爲9.1%/5.1%/8.1%/7.3%/9.9%。

科技、醫藥等成長板塊重獲機構重視,傳統經濟板塊中能源及大金融持倉持續顯著提升

從一級行業層面上,二季度美國主要投資機構對成長板塊持倉顯著提升,Q2信息技術、通信服務、醫療保健板塊重倉持股金額環比顯著提升7.7%/13.5%/10.3%至5.13/2.50/2.16萬億美元,與可選消費持續穩固權重板塊地位。

21Q2海外主要投資機構在傳統經濟板塊上的持倉則顯著分化。其中,受益於油價持續上漲的能源、以券商爲代表的金融以及受益於房價持續上漲的地產板塊重倉持股金額環比增幅較高,分別達10.3%/8.1%/14.7%。而上個季度機構增配明顯的工業和公用事業板塊則遭減持。

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剔除股價上漲因素後,科技、醫藥、金融板塊個股仍獲較大幅度實際增配,板塊吸引力凸顯

科技巨頭繼續穩固重倉股地位,科技、醫藥等成長板塊重倉持股金額提升顯著。Q2 投資機構前十大重倉股維持不變,僅排序略有變化,微軟、蘋果、亞馬遜、臉書、谷歌繼續佔據前五。

從重倉持股金額環比上升最高的個股來看,醫藥板塊的丹納赫、禮來以及信息技術板塊的SHOPIFY、ADOBE更受美國投資機構青睞,其重倉持股金額分別上升76.2%/38.6%/42.6%/25.8%,股價在Q2亦均上漲約20%。

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Q2美股市場相對優秀的表現也成爲美國投資機構重倉持股金額環比提升的主要原因之一。因此,在剔除股價表現的影響後探究美國投資機構增持較多的個股,發現Q2機構實際增配最多的前二十大重倉股中,信息技術、醫療保健及金融板塊分別佔據5、4、3席。

其中,信息技術板塊二季度股價表現較好,Intuit、Paypal、Salesforce股價分別漲28.1%/20.0%/15.3%,剔除股價影響,機構仍增配約達145/73/68億美元。醫藥板塊的丹納赫、禮來、輝瑞二季度度重倉金額增量亦達到349/151/55億美元。

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從主流機構的持倉情況來看,Q2科技及大金融板塊獲主流投資機構青睞

選取五家市場較爲關注的主動管理型基金(GEODE、摩根大通、北美信託、瑞銀、聯博資管)探究其二季度持倉變化,科技及大金融板塊個股普遍獲機構增持。

大數據分析企業PALANTIR、硬件設備商SENSEONICS均獲GEODE、北美信託增配;亨廷頓銀行獲GEODE、北美信託增持。

另外,美股中概企業多遭減持。

北美信託二季度減持中國人壽、中國鋁業、中石油、中石化、阿裏分別達到1319.5/1477.0/1796.6/4532.5/ 6318.0萬股。但值得注意的是,華住Q2反被GEODE、摩根大通、北美信託、瑞銀四家機構增持,具備潛在機會的優質個股仍舊被海外機構長期關注。

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