郭思治: 大市能否止跌回升視乎一眾新經濟股表現
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過連跌四日後,昨終見技術性後抽,恆指早市先輕微高開55點至25,800點,其後曾略反覆而低見25,708點,惟沽壓並不明顯,加上維穩買盤滲著湧現,故整個大市卒開始在緩步中推上,而恆指亦一度回升280點至26,025點,但由於高台買盤不繼,故市勢亦漸呈拉鋸,恆指最後報收25,867點,較上日升121點,全日總成交金額為1,344億元,從走勢上看,大市雖見技術反彈,但由於恆指暫仍受制於各組常用之平均移動線之下,故整個大市之形態暫仍屬反覆欲試低位之格局,從小圖上看,目前所指的首個低位該為本月17日之低位25,615點,惟此防線一旦有失,則後市可能會進一步反覆下試本年7月27日之低位24,748點。
目前10天線已跌至26,264點,而20天線亦回落至26,278點,以恆指昨天報收在25,867點計,技術上仍有400多點之改距離,上述兩組平均移動線乃大市首個上升阻力,簡單點說,大市如欲擺脫反覆欲試低位之弱態,首要的條件是恆指必需先成功重越上述兩組平均移動線並穩守其上,否則,大市之弱態依然。
從市內所見,大市能否止跌回升,很大程度上仍需視乎一眾新經濟股之表現如何而定,而較關鍵的當然是騰訊(00700.HK)、美團點評(03690.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等之表現如何。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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