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茅台半年報出爐!張坤二季度小幅減倉,私募大佬這樣解讀
格隆匯 07-31 13:13

本文來自:上海證券報,作者:徐鋭

“年少不知白酒香,錯把科技加滿倉。”

這是半年前部分A股股民發出的感慨,彼時隨着茅台等白酒股股價的一路上漲,重倉一、二線白酒的千億“頂流”基金經理張坤也成了基民眼中的“YYDS”(永遠的神)。

然而短短半年時間過去,“白酒香”不僅被“科技香”所取代,曾堅定持有白酒股的張坤也在二季度順勢略作減倉茅台,退出了後者的前十大股東序列。

貴州茅台7月30日晚發佈的2021年半年報顯示,今年上半年公司實現營業收入490.87億元,同比增長11.68%;實現淨利潤246.54億元,同比增長9.08%。報吿期內,公司完成基酒產量5.03萬噸,其中茅台酒基酒產量3.78萬噸、系列酒基酒產量1.25萬噸。

相較於差強人意的業績表現,貴州茅台同時披露的前十大股東榜單(截至6月30日)更受關注。

與一季度末持股相對比,貴州茅台最新股東榜單最大的變化即是——由張坤掌舵的“易方達藍籌精選混合型證券投資基金”於今年二季度實施了減持操作,並已從茅台十大股東名單中消失。

在今年一季度末,易方達藍籌精選曾以432萬股的持股規模位居茅台股東榜第9位,以一季度末股價計算(2009元/股),其期末持股市值接近87億元。然而最新半年報顯示,在前十大股東“入圍門檻”為427萬股的背景下,易方達藍籌精選已從前十大股東榜單中消失,意味着其在二季度進行了減持操作。

不過,另據易方達藍籌精選二季報顯示,該基金截至二季度末,尚持有貴州茅台426萬股,只比一季度略有減持。

易方達藍籌精選二季報部分重倉股變化

與張坤的減倉舉動相反,招商中證白酒指數分級證券投資基金則在二季度大舉加倉,截至6月末共持有貴州茅台478.32萬股。

而從整體來看,與一季度末相比,貴州茅台前十大股東中半數股東持倉未發生變化,其他股東持股增減變動也較小。

近半年來,A股投資風格又發生了顯著變化,以茅台為代表的“茅指數”持續震盪下挫,反觀以寧德時代為代表的“寧指數”則一路高歌猛進,市場分化明顯。

那麼,作為白酒股投資代表的張坤此番減倉貴州茅台,其背後究竟是怎樣的邏輯?是否代表其投資風格的轉變?

“茅台價格雙軌制帶來的變化就是業績增長放緩,作為財務股東是很難承受殺估值的壓力,公募更是很難做長期投資。”榕樹投資創始人、董事長兼首席投資官翟敬勇對此稱。

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