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植耀輝: 美股急挫資金避險 恆指再考驗250點支持
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(19日)急挫,變種病毒在多地肆虐,歐美新增確診個案回升之餘,亦令投資者擔心經濟復甦存在變數,資金湧入債市避險,10年期債息便一度跌穿1.2厘,道指一度大跌超過900點,收市亦跌725點或2.1%,收報33,962點,標普500指數及納指則分別下跌1.6%及1.1%,收報4,258點及14,274點。

港股昨日亦急跌,科技股又再成為跌市之元凶,ATM三者便拖累恆指大跌232點,另外友邦(01299.HK)亦跌超過3%,拖累恆指下跌74點。在權重股表現欠佳下,恆指最終大跌514點,收報27,489點,全日總成交,428.9億元。筆者相信科技板塊暫時仍「無運行」,畢竟大家仍然關注內地互聯網監管以及中美角力情況,加上市場亦未見有利好消息之餘,筆者亦較關注美股短期或會有調整壓力,相信港股再下試250天線亦即27,100點水平機會頗高,當然該水平能否守穩筆者亦不敢抱太大信心,所以投資者暫宜採取守勢以及靜觀其變。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有騰訊及友邦股份)

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恆指能否守住250天牛熊分界線成關鍵

耀才研究部稱,隔晚(19日)美股急挫,道指最多瀉逾900點,創年內最大跌幅,最終收跌725點或2.1%,標普及納指均跌逾1%。市場憂慮Delta變種病毒快速擴散,美國上周新冠確診病例較前一周急增70%,英國亦在確診激增下全面解封,拖累市場氣氛,油價挫逾7%;恐慌指數VIX一度爆升35.98%至25.09,創5月以來高位,市場資金流入債市避險,10年期美債息低見1.2厘。

目前市況處於避險階段,加上港股昨日北水淨沽出18億元人民幣創過去一週最大,假如科網股未能重新受青睞的話,大市回吐的力度將加大。

恆指目前於20天線即28,300點前止步,亦已完成了黃金反彈比率的一半,同時RSI買入動能再度轉弱,需小心此輪反彈浪或已告完結,重要支持位則回到250天線27,162點。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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