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植耀輝: 美股續有好表現 港股反彈惟力度有限
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(12日)維持升勢,本週公佈業績之金融股有不俗表現,加上科技股仍有資金追捧,三大指數均錄得升幅,當中道指上升126點或0.36%,收報34,996點;標普500指數上升0.35%,收報4,384點,納指上升31點或0.21%,收報14,733點。

至於港股,昨日跟隨A股有好表現,早段更一度大升超過400點,惟科技股繼續見沽壓,油股表現亦欠佳,最終恆指全日僅升170點,收報27,515點,成交金額1,546億元。成份股中表現最好爲海底撈(06862.HK),上升8.8%,其次爲上升7.8%之比亞迪(01211.HK)。至於剛出6月出貨量之舜宇(02382.HK)因數據表現欠理想,股價因而受壓,下跌2.3%,爲成份股中最大跌幅股份。至於上週累跌5%之申洲國際(02313.HK)仍未止跌,昨日再跌超過2%,收報177.9元,爲成份股中第二差藍籌。

港股昨日雖見反彈,但力度相當有限,始終科技股沽壓仍大,昨日見騰訊(00700.HK)北水淨沽出仍達到16億元人民幣,其股價表現仍見偏軟。除非科技股再獲資金吸納,否則大市難有好表現。預期港股將維持拉鋸格局,於27,000至28,000點水平上落。

(筆者爲證監會持牌人,持有騰訊股份)

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美股續創新高 內地科網巨企風險持續

耀才研究部稱,美股隔晚(12日)上揚,三大指數持續齊創上市新高。市場氣氛熱烈,同時觀望企業業績以及聯儲局主席鮑威爾週二及三出席國會聽證會;英國新冠肺炎疫情持續惡化,連續六天單日新增確診病例超過3萬宗,當局預計夏季恐達到每日新增10萬宗確診,除了業績股爆雷之外,疫情惡化可能會成爲股市中的重大風險因素。外電指早於3月底時,已經決定暫停在美國或本港上市的計劃;另外,當局亦擬要求騰訊(00700.HK)旗下騰訊音樂放棄所獲唱片公司對音樂的獨家授權,反壟斷及數據安全監管持續,科網巨頭能否持續反彈成關鍵,騰訊昨日錄得北水淨流出16億元人民幣。

恆指近日成功守住250天牛熊分界線,同時RSI出現超賣情況,假設恆指見底回升的話,以黃金反彈比率0.382計,恆指首先將有望重返27,800點水平。

(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~

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