《即日市評》恆指再跌 油股捱沽 海底撈逆市揚
受美團(03690.HK)、阿裏(09988.HK)及匯控(00005.HK)跌勢拖累下，港股今日向下。市場關注新冠疫情發展，美股昨晚個別發展，道指跌0.4%但納指升1%，；執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.489釐，美匯指數升至92.05；美股道指期貨最新升22點或0.06%，納指期貨最新跌0.22%。人行稱要健全市場化利率形成及傳導機制，推動進一步降低實際貸款利率；上證綜指全日跌33點或0.9%收3,573點、深證成指跌近1%、內地創業板指數下滑0.2%，滬深兩市成交額共9,974萬億人民幣。
股在期指結算日隨外圍下跌。恆指高開23點見29,291點已爲全日高位，其後反覆下跌，午後曾跌343點一度低見28,924點，全日跌274點或0.9%，收28,994點；國指跌106點或1%，收10,757點；恆生科技指數跌75點或0.9%，收8,201點。大市全日成交總額1,461.26億元，滬港通南下交易錄得淨流出4.23億元人民幣，深港通南下交易錄得淨流入13.86億元人民幣。
【恆指續受壓 中石油捱沽】
中資石油股受壓，中石油(00857.HK)股價下滑4.1%收3.7元，中石化(00386.HK)走低4.6%，中海油(00883.HK)股價跌2.9%。瑞銀髮表報告指，中石油股價表現跑贏市場，年初至今已上升超過60%，並完全回覆至疫情前水平。由於股價上升，該行將集團股份評級由「買入」降至「中性」，目標價3.9元，相信其上升和下行風險已更爲平衡。
瑞銀繼續預期中石油今年的盈利可有285%的恢復，爲集團自2014年以來最佳的年度盈利表現。該行認爲，市場將中石油股份定價反映於油價處每桶60美元的低水平，並未反映目前的強勁油價走勢會持續。另一方面，市場應反映油價進一步上升會對集團經營帶來負面影響的風險。中資主要油股中，瑞銀首選中海油(00883.HK) ，評級爲「買入」。
【跌股一千隻 海底撈彈高】
港股今日市寬轉弱，主板股票的升跌比率爲15比27(上日20爲比19)，下跌股份1,124只(跌2.2%)；恆指成份股今日9只股份上升，下跌股份48只，升跌比率爲15比83(上日爲41比57)；大市今日錄沽空172.77億元，佔可沽空股份成交1,258.42億元的13.729%(上日14.175%)。
部份餐飲股受捧，海底撈(06862.HK)全日上揚8.7%收40.65元，頤海國際(01579.HK)股價彈高5.3%。中銀國際早前發表報告指，中國餐飲市場呈復甦，隨着「線上到線下」推行、實體店逐步回覆、龍頭餐飲企業持續擴展網絡及數字化部署，以提升市場份額及效率，維持對中國餐飲行「增持」評級，並上調對海底撈評級，由「持有」升至「買入」。
中銀國際相信海底撈仍是內地增長快速的火鍋行業的領導者，具獨特的管理模式，在數字化部署及自動化上處於領先，有助於長期性提高效益。該行下調對其目標價由57.5元降至52元，相當於預測2020年企業價值對EBITDA的15倍，較內地及國際餐廳營運商平均估值低5%。
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