朗姿股份(002612):區域醫美連鎖龍頭 未來有望進一步打開成長空間
時尚女裝+綠色嬰童+醫療美容三大業務構建泛時尚生態圈,醫美業務快速增長。朗姿股份以女裝起家,14 年起逐步拓展業務邊界,16 年快速切入醫美行業,形成以時尚女裝、綠色嬰童、醫療美容多產業互聯、協同發展的泛時尚業務生態圈和多元化品牌矩陣。20 年收入28.8 億元,同比下降4.4%,其中醫療美容板塊收入8.1 億元,16-20 年CAGR76%,業務發展迅速,佔比提升至28.2%。20 年公司歸母淨利潤為1.4 億元,同比增長142%。其中醫美業務歸屬於上市公司股東的淨利潤6887 萬元,同比增長31.4%。國內醫美機構區域性特徵明顯,頭部機構跑馬圈地搶佔市場,未來有望向頭部集中。我國是全球醫美市場第二大國,市場規模保持兩位數增長,高於全球增速。但滲透率低,不合規機構數量眾多,近日國家衞健委、公安部等多部門印發《打擊非法醫療美容服務專項整治工作方案》整治醫美市場,監管趨嚴合規市場成長潛力有望進一步釋放。醫美市場蓬勃發展,醫美機構數量快速擴張,國內醫療整形美容機構數量從12 年的2779 家增長到18年的1.2 萬家,期間CAGR 為27.6%。目前中小型機構佔比高,醫美機構格局呈現高度分散特徵,多采用地區自主經營模式。職工薪酬、材料耗用和營銷費用為醫美機構最主要的成本費用構成。醫美三大品牌差異化定位,全方位賦能醫美機構,內生外延打開長期成長空間。公司醫美版塊採取差異化戰略,形成高端(米蘭柏羽)、技術(高一生)、輕醫美多店連鎖(晶膚)立體格局。截止21 年一季度末,公司旗下共計20 家醫美機構,覆蓋成都、西安、深圳、等7 座城市,並自西南、西北地區逐步滲透整體醫美市場。公司旗下醫美機構在當地具有強品牌力,通過公司集團化管理理念,四級管控體系,具有競爭力的薪酬體系賦能醫美機構快速成長與提高運營效率,併購後的醫美機構盈利能力得到明顯提升。未來公司將繼續採取內生+外延式併購,以連鎖化和品牌化推進1+N 策略佈局。醫美與口腔、眼科同處高景氣賽道,現在為發展初期階段,未來成長空間大。眼科、口腔、美容、整形外科具有利潤率高、收入快速增長等特點。同時,眼科、口腔等專科醫院可標準化運營,各頭部機構跨區域複製,醫院數量快速增加。眼科、健康體驗領域已率先完成格局出清,口腔行業集中度正在提高,醫美仍處在發展初期。口腔、眼科、健康體檢行業,標準化程度高、規模效應明顯是共同經營特徵,醫美行業中手術類與非手術類特徵不一,因此公司戰略選擇有所差別。對標行業龍頭公司標杆門店,未來醫美機構的盈利能力仍有一定的提升空間。公司由時尚女裝+綠色嬰童+醫療美容三駕馬車驅動,醫美業務發展迅速,未來通過自建+併購方式持續佈局,首次覆蓋給予“增持”評級。目前醫美機構競爭格局分散,未來有望向龍頭集中。公司自16 年切入醫美賽道,目前已經形成完善的集團化管理運營體系,未來公司通過內生和外延以連鎖化和品牌化推進1+N 策略佈局。 預計21-23 年公司分別實現歸母淨利潤2.2/3/3.7 億元,對應PE106/80/64 倍。採用分部估值公司,公司2021 年目標市值279 億元,較目前市值有19%的漲幅,首次覆蓋給予“增持”評級。風險提示:傳統服裝業務下滑、醫療事故導致品牌受損、業務拓展風險導致獲客成本增加,公司6 月16 日關於深交所關注函回覆的公吿,關於股東減持及相關承諾、關於醫美資產及公司經營、關於股價異動,提示投資者關注
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