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盈選報告 | 注意商品價格的調整,關注線上醫療板塊等

市場策略

▍中泰證券有色金屬行業首席分析師謝鴻鶴表示,看多商品價格的概率仍在80%左右,但是這並不意味着商品價格不會調整,畢竟補庫需求是有頂的,海外也不可能永久性無限量QE。商品來說,需求是核心,未來十年十五年新能源的需求已經“搭弓上箭”,同時因爲全球碳中和碳達峯,以及環保等對供給方面的硬約束,對有色商品的中長週期應該更樂觀些。市場對於週期研究的重視也會不斷增加。

▍掌管Ark基金的Cathie Wood預計,一旦全球經濟全面開放,將看到商品價格進行非常嚴重的調整。還表示,儘管投資者轉向價值股的勢頭“強勁”,但高成長類股仍具吸引力。

▍中金公司預計5月CPI環比有較大不確定性,但總體上通脹仍面臨上行壓力通脹超預期上行或增添貨幣政策走勢不確定性,加大市場波動。4月通脹大幅超預期未必會引起貨幣政策立即反應。美聯儲下一次FOMC會議6月15-16日召開,美國勞工部6月10日發佈的5月美國CPI將引起市場高度關注。

熱點機會

▍FAAMG:

中信證券表示,FAAMG一季度主要業績顯著好於此前市場預期。展望2021,預計科技巨頭當前業績高增速有望繼續延續,並認爲FAAMG當前的估值仍相對合理,仍是中長線資金進行基礎性配置的核心選項,中期繼續維持看好

▍線上醫療健康平臺:

瑞信稱,內地線上醫療高增長的情況會持續,主因去年疫情帶動線上醫療的增長。科技創新將是未來增長的基礎,預期臨牀決策支持系統將於短期內可以大規模商用。首選京東健康,其次是阿裏健康,最後是平安好醫生。

▍新能源汽車:

中信證券表示,國內新能源汽車2021年4月銷量20.6萬輛,環比-8.7%,同比+180%,符合市場預期。優質車型不斷推出提升行業景氣,行業向上趨勢明確。海外方面,歐洲市場在碳排放新規和補貼政策刺激下保持高景氣,美國市場有望受益拜登政府支持政策重回高成長。維持2021年景氣大年的判斷,全球新能源汽車步入高速成長階段,推薦比亞迪股份、贛鋒鋰業。

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