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港股收評:驚現“黑天鵝”,恆指失守3萬點!科網股集體重挫,港交所一度跌近12%

今日,恆指午後低位震盪走弱,全天大跌2.99%,失守3萬點;恆生科技股跌超5%,報9360.95點;國企指數跌3.36%,報11509.73點。盤面上看,大型科網股集體重挫,有色、油氣板塊領跌,新經濟概念股大跌,遊戲、光伏、生物醫藥股大幅下挫,金融股表現萎靡。

 

個股方面,香港交易所大跌近9%,快手跌近9%,美團跌近7%,小米跌超4%,騰訊、京東跌超3%。消息面上,香港計劃提高股票交易印花稅,恆指一度暴跌1100點,即便中午公佈創記錄新高業績的港交所仍暴跌12.26%,創2015年年以來最大盤中跌幅。

 

具體看,在港上市水泥股持續走強,海螺水泥大漲3.14%,山水水泥漲2.86,華潤水泥漲0.21%。市場預計2021年在疫情緩解情況下,水泥行業有望否極泰來,水泥價格全年有望正增長。此次水泥提價剛剛啓動,後續隨着開工旺季到來,水泥價格將持續上漲。

 

香港零售股大幅分化,莎莎國際大漲7.77%,卓越控股漲6.6%。消息面上,香港特區政府財政司司長陳茂波表示,將向每名合資格的十八歲或以上香港永久性居民及新來港人士,分期發放總額五千港元的電子消費券,鼓勵及帶動本地消費。預計措施可惠及約七百二十萬人,涉及約三百六十億港元財政承擔。

 

酒店及度假村板塊微漲,藍鼎國際大漲35.06%,海天底悅旅、香格裏拉、錦江資本等跟漲。

 

此前漲勢較好的銅、有色金屬板塊等集體下挫,五礦資源跌超16%領跌,江西銅業股份跌近13%,中國有色礦業跌近12%。國君(香港)發佈研報稱,高銅價預計將無法持續。由於世界其它國家仍在遭受新冠疫情的痛苦,全球銅的消費需求並未改善。預計銅價在未來幾個月將會下跌。預計2021年年度銅均價在5500-6000美元/噸之間。

 

Saas概念全線走低,阜博集團跌超26%,移卡、金山軟件、中國有贊跌超13%。雲想科技、微盟集團等跟跌。

 

新能源物料股下挫,保利協鑫能源暴跌33.24%,卡姆丹克太陽能大跌26.58%,中國科技產業集團、彩虹新能源等跟跌。此前,國務院要求提升可再生能源利用比例,大力推動風電及光伏發電發展,但光伏相關股卻嚴重下挫。

 

受A股醫美板塊午後重挫,愛美客大跌逾18%的影響,港股醫美概念亦跟隨走弱。四環醫藥大跌7.55%;香港醫思醫療微跌0.65%。

 

藍籌股以港交所(00388.HK)沽壓最大,受累港府建議調高股票印花稅,股價由紀錄高位三連挫,午後曾急挫逾12%低見489.6元,現造508元,續挫9%,爲最傷藍籌,成交急增至3,376萬股,爲逾三年罕見。港交所中午公佈,去年多賺近23%至115.05億元符預期,第二次中期股息按年增49%至4.46元。

 

恆生科技指數成分股重挫,京東健康、美團跌近7%,小米集團跌超4%,騰訊跌近3%。$快手-W(01024.HK)$跌近8%,本週來已跌去15%,最新市值1.37萬億港元。快手昨日正式納入恆生綜合指數、國指、科技指數3大指數。

 

南向資金淨流出逾129億元,實際淨賣出近200億元,均創歷史新高,爲2020年12月18日以來首次淨流出。

 

美銀證券表示,港府上調股票印花稅稅率提議,對港交所短期營業額影響屬中性的,因爲港股市場依然強勁,投資者傾向於忽略交易成本的上升,而證券經紀可能會降低散戶投資者的傭金率。但從長期來看,高昂的交易成本將不利於港交所擴大及吸引投資者,構成負面影響。

國信證券表示,港交所積累了一定升幅,市場只是藉藉口回調,故政府加印花稅,港交所股價大跌是過度反映。對於印花稅由0.1%上調至0.13%,他稱,印花稅上調幅度較早前市場估計較低,而且手續費百分比高於印花稅,因此印花稅上調,相信不會對港股成交造成重大影響。

中泰國際表示,現有的交易成本大約是0.25%+0.1077%=0.3577%,印花稅上調30%後使總交易成本上升至0.3877%,大約8%左右,目前市場程序交易盛行,交易成本上升將短線打擊投資情緒,可能有部分資金轉投較低成本的美股。但長線不會有太大影響,畢竟公司盈利增長、估值前景纔是決定投資者入市的最主要因素。股票借勢如果有比較大的調整,是吸納的好機會。

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