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首季渣打中小企指数跌至32.4 反映营商信心在第四波疫情爆发下走软
阿思达克 01-26 11:05
生产力局公布2021年度第一季「渣打香港中小企领先营商指数」调查,第一季综合营商指数下跌5.1至32.4,反映本地中小企营商信心在第四波疫情爆发下走软。

2021年度第一季综合营商的五大分项指数均全线下跌,「盈利表现」录得最明显跌幅,显示中小企面临较困难的营商环境。调查亦发现,38%受访中小企预期下一季营业额将上升或维持不变,较上季减少10%。行业方面,三大行业分类指数,包括「进出口贸易及批发业」、「制造业」及「零售业」指数亦全线下跌。然而,即使多个行业指数向下,「社会及个人服务业」、「金融及保险业」及「资讯及通讯业」的「招聘意向」分项指数仍录得中性水平50以上。

生产力局首席数码总监黎少斌指出,本季度的调查时间正值香港爆发第四波疫情,故此中小企整体营商信心转弱,整体行业分类指数均处於低位水平。不过,部份行业於「招聘意向」分项指数中仍录得50中性水平以上,显示这些行业在环球及本地营商环境困难下,仍有一定的发展机遇。

渣打银行(香港)大中华区高级经济师刘健恒指,最新一季调查结果显示指数於连续两个季度获得改善後回落,其中八个主要行业指数均录得明显跌幅,导致综合营商指数下跌。调查结果有点令人意外,因为这季度调查是於去年12月初至中旬进行,适逢有即将推出疫苗和美国新政府拜登上台的利好消息,本应有助振奋市场情绪。

他估计可能由於预期的全球复苏仍非常遥远,无法抵销目前种种挑战带来的悲观情绪;新一轮冠状病毒疫情爆发或人民币升值对出口商均造成进一步影响。相对於长期商业信心,两项反映短期业务表现的分项指数「盈利表现」及「营业状况」下跌幅度较大,正好确认这观点。

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