You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
數據透視9月以來抱團股瓦解輪動行為
格隆匯 09-07 17:15

來源:Wind

近期,抱團股接連大幅下跌,海天味業3個交易日累計跌幅達18.54%,創業板龍頭寧德時代9月7日大幅下跌逾8%,與此同時,創業板成交額亦創出歷史新高,並持平上證A股。

醬油股陣營率先瓦解

9月3日,海天味業放量大跌近7%開啟了9月以來抱團股瓦解的序幕,隨後兩天,海天味業繼續放量下跌,3天時間累計跌幅達18.54%,事實上,公司股價自今年3月中旬以來,漲幅已經翻倍。而從公司當前市盈率來看,仍接近90倍。

從公司近3年業績來看,年均增速均保持在20%左右,作為一家以醬油為主要調味品的公司,終端消費者對調味品的需求基本保持穩定,即使考慮市場份額提升及漲價因素,公司未來業績的成長性也難以支撐如此高的估值。亦有機構投資者明確表示,當前價格太高,不會買。

身處醫療保健板塊的通策醫療同樣面臨着高估值的隱憂,雖然最近3天累計跌幅超過16%,但3月下旬以來公司股價同樣已經翻倍,而當前市盈率高達150倍,即便考慮未來的成長性仍面臨短期估值偏高的風險。

抱團股瓦解擴容

9月7日,農業板塊的白馬股新希望和海大集團雙雙跌幅超過8%,兩家公司今年以來漲幅均已翻倍,同時新希望大股東近期亦加入減持陣營,新希望9月4日晚間發佈公告稱,近日公司收到新望投資出具的《關於股份減持計劃實施進展的告知函》,截止2020年9月4日,新望投資此次減持計劃數量已過半,減持股數487.53萬股,減持比例0.11%。

9月7日,創業板市值“一哥”寧德時代同樣加入抱團股瓦解陣營,當天公司股價低開低走,盤中最低跌幅超過10%,截至收盤仍大幅下跌8.74%,成交額放大至85億元。自去年11月以來,公司累計漲幅已經超過200%,當前市盈率高達百倍,作為動力電池領域的龍頭,投資者扎堆湧入。

創業板創歷史天量

9月7日,創業板成交額達3547.79億元,創出歷史新高,同時指數大跌3.33%,為一月多月以來最大單日跌幅。

創業板成交額持平上證A股

9月7日,創業板成交額再度放量,幾乎持平上證A股。通過近幾日上證A股與創業板成交額對比可以發現,比值大幅下跌,並跌破1.5的重要關口,創今年以來最低,資金湧向創業板也造成主板人氣走弱。

而從今年以來成交額比值與滬指漲跌的關係來看,比值越低滬指走弱的概率也越大,9月7日,創業板成交額創新高的同時,滬指跌幅達1.87%。

創業板小盤股繼續狂歡

9月7日,此前連續漲停的天山生物再度漲停,雖然公司多次公告提示風險,但仍難以阻止資金的湧入。

在龍頭股的帶動下,9月7日,雖然滬深兩市大幅下跌,但仍有寶利國際、通裕重工、飛利信、天海防務、矩子科技、藍盾股份、超頻三、聚燦光電、乾照光電等17家創業板公司漲停。

從漲停公司市值和市盈率來看,均為中小市值個股,且多數公司估值偏高甚至業績虧損。

Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account