一文了解券商於瑞声(02018.HK)公布季绩後最新评级、目标价及观点
瑞声科技(02018.HK)今早股价受压,一度挫逾6%曾低见39.8元,美国商务部公布正研究修改一项出口规例,限制中国电讯设备生产商华为向美方购买制作智能手机等产品的半导体,据内地《环球时报》社评指出,若果美方对华为进一步打压,中方将予反击包括将苹果等美国有关企业纳入「不可靠实体清单」内。
瑞声上周五(15日)中午收市後公布首季业绩,季度纯利按年跌87.8%至5,270.4万元人民币,每股盈利0.04元人民币。季度营业额按年跌5.1%至35.6亿元人民币,毛利率按年跌7个百分点至23.1%,净利率为1.5%,跌10个百分点。公司指,受季节性因素及新冠疫情影响,集团生产运营计划和产能利用率受严重影响,防疫复工带来的额外非经常性生产成本和经营性费用,进一步影响集团季度业绩。
公司首季声学分部销售额按年跌24.3%至14.2亿元人民币,毛利率按年跌6.8个百分点至26%。光学分部销售额按年升61.7%至2.45亿元人民币。电磁传动及精密结构件分部销售额按年升8.1%至16.9亿元人民币,毛利率按年跌8.4个百分点至23.6%。
【美封杀华为 忧打乱步署】
野村调低对瑞声投资评级,由「中性」降至「减持」,指公司过去两年已在苹果iPhone手机中失去声学及触动产品市占,并透过华为取得Android手机阵营的机械部件及镜头市占,但美国加紧封杀华为将打乱公司计划,相信公司需要时间调整。该行下调目标价,由46元降至39.3港元,维持「减持」评级。
花旗下调对瑞声投资评级,由「买入」降至「中性」,指公司中期会面临挑战,料全球智能手机需求存风险,指首季毛利率差於预期,公司亦承认触动产品毛利率因争取安卓(Android)市场份额,仍较声学产品为差。该行亦相信玻璃晶圆级镜片需更多时间才见成果,且相关产品或押後推出,产品平均售价亦不会大幅提升。但该行仍对玻璃晶圆级镜片业务有憧憬,若中国代工厂恢复大规模生产,对有关业务的展望可更为正面。
高盛表示据其行业调查,预期下半年智能手机需求仍有高度不确定性,瑞声镜头模组毛利率会受压。该行基於首季业绩疲弱,维持「沽售」评级及31港元目标价。
【公布业绩後股价下滑】
公司股价在业绩公布後下跌,本网最新综合15间券商对其投资评级及目标价,2间券商下调投资评级,3间券商上调目标价,3间券商下调目标价,7间给予「中性」、「持有」或「与大市同步」评级:
券商│投资评级│目标价(港元)
星展│买入│70元->72元
海通国际│买入│68->58元
华兴资本│买入│57.01元
国盛证券│买入│54.7元
摩根大通│中性│48元
花旗│买入->中性│57元->46元
国泰君安│中性│46元
大和│持有│39元->43元
招商证券国际│中性│42元
瑞信│中性│40.2元
摩根士丹利│与大市同步│40元
野村│中性->减持│46元->39.3元
麦格理│跑输大市│36.73元->38.2元
高盛│沽售│31元
瑞银│沽售│30元
券商│观点
星展│光学业务急升,毛利率急速改善
海通国际│对光学业务及新iPhone5G周期乐观
华兴资本│预期玻璃晶圆级镜片业务将快速增长
国盛证券│光学业务亮眼仍值得期待
摩根大通│首季业绩符合盈警指引,业绩改善前维持「中性」评级
花旗│预期公司中期展望受新冠疫情影响,玻璃晶圆级镜片需更多时间见成果
国泰君安│季绩基本符预期
大和│最坏情况过去,但新冠疫情仍使毛利率有风险
招商证券国际│光学业务开始见到成果
瑞信│首季业绩符合指引
摩根士丹利│首季业绩符预期
野村│华为遭美封杀或将带来巨大结构性损失
麦格理│手机市场疫弱及竞争抵销光学业务增长利好
高盛│业绩符合盈警,维持「沽售」评级
瑞银│首季盈利如预期般疲弱
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