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一表綜合大行對中行(03988.HK)於業績後最新目標價及觀點
阿思達克 09-02 10:49

中國銀行(03988.HK)今早股價偏淡,最新報2.97元走低0.7%。中行上周五(30日)收市後公布中期業績。純利按年升4.6%至1,140.48億元人民幣(下同),高於本網綜合5間券商預測介乎1,127億至1,137.79億元的上限。每股盈利38分,不派中期息。

期內營業收入按年升10%至2,766.88億元,淨利息收入按年升5.4%至1,816.84億元,低於本網綜合4間券商預測中位數1,843.37億元。淨息差按年收窄5點子至1.83厘;手續費及佣金收支淨額按年升4.9%至505.64億元,成本收入比按年減1.15個百分點至24.63%。期內資產減值損失按年增加19.1%至336.7億元,信貸成本按年增加2點子至0.59%,不良貸款率較去年底改善2點子至1.4%,不良貸款撥備覆蓋率較去年底減少4.45個百分點至177.52%。

【收入雙位數增長不良貸款率改善】

匯豐環球研究認為,中行中期業績對股價影響中性,費用及其他收入顯著上升,超出該行預期,一級資本充足率透過發行優先股顯著改善及淨息差按季溫和改善,不良貸款涵蓋率及流動性覆蓋率則下跌,成本增長亦溫和超出收入增長。該行維持對中行H股的「買入」評級,目標價維持4.7港元。

中金指,中行營收增速在大行中最高,息差趨勢亦略好於同業。該行認為,中行與其他大行在資產回報率、存款及資本質素方面的差距已逐漸縮小,考慮其較低估值,較高外幣資產比重有望帶來更大匯兌收益,和較少受人民幣業務息差下行影響,認為中行有較好投資價值。該行予中行H股「跑贏行業」評級,目標價4.68港元。

大和亦認為,中行目前股息率高達7.4%,高於其他國營銀行的4.9%至6.7%。該行予中行H股「跑贏大市」評級,目標價3.9港元。

本網最新綜合8間券商對其投資評級及目標價:

券商│投資評級│目標價(港元)

匯豐環球研究│買入│4.7元

中金│跑贏行業│4.68元

花旗│買入│4.45元

高盛│中性│4.4元

美銀美林│中性│4.15元

大和│跑贏大市│3.9元

摩根大通│增持│3.9元

麥格理│跑贏大市│3.9元券商│觀點

匯豐環球研究│資本狀況強化

中金公司│中期業績平穩,低估值和外幣資產結構隱含投資價值

花旗│業績穩固,淨息差及資產質素趨勢良好

高盛│次季淨息差擴闊勝預期,撥備減少純利增長穩定

美銀美林│核心盈利增長穩固

大和│淨息差按季上升,非利息收入貢獻上升

摩根大通│收入雙位數增長及淨息差擴闊勝預期

麥格理│次季業績略遜預期,料下半年將放緩

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