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新能源賽道強勢歸來?1.6萬億“寧王”狂飆,產業鏈嗨了!

A股硬科技冷卻,新能源產業鏈強勢歸來。

週一萬億“寧王”盤中久違狂飆,帶動電池、儲能、光伏全線大爆發。

截至發稿,A股中一科技、百利科技、迪生力、尚太科技、天賜材料等多股漲停,寧德時代、贛鋒鋰業、億緯鋰能紛紛大漲。

“寧王”,新高!

今早“寧王”AH股均創下歷史新高。

盤中,寧德時代A股一度漲14%,股價創歷史新高,現漲近10%報357元/股,現市值1.63萬億;H股一度漲近10%,同步歷史新高。

自去年924行情以後,寧德時代股價走勢相對平穩。

不過在今年4月上旬,該股短暫陷入了回落;隨後“寧王”便開始蓄勢,開啓新一輪上攻。

截至目前,寧德時代A股累計漲幅超60%。

週末有消息稱,寧德時代上修要貨指引。

這也意味着,2026年鋰電需求高增長的確定性大幅提升。

據悉,寧德對供應商2026年排產指引上修至1.1TWh,對應50%+增長。市場機構預計排產上修有兩大原因:

首先,需求超預期,持續高景氣度,25年預計排產端720-730gwh,預計26年實際排產900-950gwh,增長30%。

其次,供應鏈24-25年資本開支放緩,需引導供應鏈繼續擴產,以滿足26-27年需求,避免材料緊缺。

作爲業內龍頭,寧德時代全球市佔率、電池產量一直遙遙領先。

據SNE Research數據,今年上半年,公司動力電池使用量全球市佔率爲38.1%居全球第一,儲能電池產量也位列全球第一。

摩根士丹利日前指出,寧德時代的行業領導地位在競爭中進一步強化,其A股估值在經歷板塊上漲後成爲“行業中最便宜的”。

此前,摩根大通已將寧德時代港股評級從中性上調至超配,而高盛對寧德時代A股目標價爲369元/股,評級“買入”;H股目標價爲470港元/股,評級“中性”。

利好驅動

最近關於新能源產業鏈的利好接踵而至。

今早,中汽協再提60天帳期,就“整車企業供應商賬款支付規範”發出倡議。

這不僅是爲了穩定供應體系,也將提升整個產業鏈的韌性,推動構建 “整車—零部件”協作共贏的發展生態。

近期工信部等八部門聯合印發《汽車行業穩增長工作方案(2025—2026年)》,提出2025年力爭實現全年汽車銷量3230萬輛左右,其中新能源汽車銷量1550萬輛左右。

此外發改委、能源局還印發了《新型儲能規模化建設專項行動方案(2025—2027年)》。

規劃到2027年,全國新型儲能裝機規模達到1.8億千瓦以上,帶動項目直接投資約2500億元,新型儲能技術路線仍以鋰離子電池儲能爲主。

早前,工信部還提出通過國家重點研發計劃支持全固態電池基礎研究。

多家電池頭部企業如寧德時代國軒高科億緯鋰能孚能科技等均明確量產計劃,預計2026年將實現GWh級別產能。

作爲鋰電行業的“賣鏟人”,設備廠商作爲產業鏈上遊,有望最先受益於技術突破和產能擴張帶來的需求增長。

中信建投此前指出,鋰電板塊已經兌現2025年市場需求超預期,當前核心矛盾爲2026年需求預期是否繼續上修。

後續持續關注儲能招標及裝機數據、2026年指引置信度、2026年車以舊換新等政策延續情況以及鋰電排產信息等。該行持續看多鋰電、儲能

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