《市評》恆指向上 晶片股起舞 中芯彈高10%
港股今日受A股帶動反覆向上。美國8月次周首次申請失業救濟人數遠高預期,市場關注聯儲局主席鮑威爾週五的講話,美股道指及納指隔晚均跌0.3%,根據芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的FedWatch利率期貨工具顯示,9月減息機會71.4%(一週前機會率85.4%)撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.791%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.335%,美匯指數升至98.72,道指期貨最新升126點或0.3%,納指期貨最新升23點或0.1%。上證綜指全日升54點或1.5%收3,825點,深證成指升2.1%,滬深兩市成交額共2.55萬億元人民幣。
恆指高開100點,初段升幅曾收窄至35點見25,140點後再度向上,尾市高見25,349點,全日升234點或0.9%,收25,339點;國指升105點或1.2%,收9,079點;恆生科技指數升149點或2.7%,收5,647點。大市全日成交總額2,855.84億元。北水交易總成交額1,597.04億元,而南向資金今日淨流入51.66億元(上日淨流入74.61億億元)。恆生指數公司今日稍後將公佈恆生系列指數第二季檢討結果,泡泡瑪特(09992.HK)升0.2%,交行(03328.HK)跌0.4%、信達生物(01801.HK)與百勝中國(09987.HK)分別跌0.2%及升1.9%。
恆指本週累升69點或0.3%、國指本週累升40點或0.8%、恆生科指本週累升104點或1.9%。美俄峯會結束未有實質協議,美國總統特朗普稱暫不對華購買俄油採取行動,市場關注Jackson Hole央行年會,關注未來息口走向指引。南向資金本週淨流入共179.05億元(上週淨流入381.2億元)。
【中芯華虹飆 晶片股受捧】
傳Nvidia(NVDA.US)叫停H20 AI晶片相關生產,加上DeepSeek發佈V3.1新模型,採用專爲「即將發佈下一代國產晶片」設計的精度格式,晶片股起舞,中芯(00981.HK)全日股價彈高10%收56.9元,成交額164.09億元,華虹(01347.HK)全日飆升17.9%收56元,成交額逾71億元,晶片設備股ASMPT(00522.HK)升5.5%。軟件股商湯(00020.HK)及中軟(00354.HK)升5.7%及4.7%。阿里巴巴(09988.HK)揚近2%收118元,快手(01024.HK)揚4.4%,小米(01810.HK)漲2.3%。
DeepSeek於昨(21日)正式發佈DeepSeek-V3.1大模型,使用了UE8M0 FP8 Scale的參數精度,格式針對即將發佈的下一代國產晶片設計。東莞證券表報告表示,該格式通過更高的靈活度支持複雜模型推理,提升晶片的解碼效率與運算能力,爲國產晶片適配更大模型提供技術路徑,國產AI算力生態有望加速成型。近日國家數據局指出,截至2025年6月底,中國5G基站總數達到455萬個,千兆寬帶用戶達2.26億戶,算力總規模位居全球第二,有力帶動經濟社會發展。該行認爲,上遊算力的旺盛需求和國產替代的持續推進有望帶動算力晶片、先進封裝等領域實現業績增長。
【升股一千隻 小鵬汽車彈】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率爲26比23(上日爲25比24),上升股份1,067只(升幅3.2%),恆指成份股今日50只股份上升,下跌股份30只,升跌比率爲59比35(上日49比49)。大市今日錄沽空447.77億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,617.28億元的17.108%(上日爲16.736%)。
小鵬汽車(09868.HK)全日股價抽上13.6%收91.9元,成交額63.87億元,控股股東連日增持310萬股。匯豐環球研究發表研報指,小鵬汽車次季業績持續改善,淨虧損進一步收窄至4.78億元人民幣,對比首季蝕6.64億元人民幣,期內汽車毛利率顯着擴張至14.3%,勝預期,相信是源自產品組合改善、規模效應及供應鏈成本優化的推動。
匯豐研究指,小鵬管理層對業績評論亦屬正面,預告今年下半年及明年將推出更多新車型。另外,小鵬早前宣佈與大衆達成技術合作,預計明年起可能錄得額外軟件服務收入,爲利潤率帶來顯着貢獻。該行預期小鵬將於今年第四季起扭虧爲盈,將2025至2027年盈利預測上調51%、27%及1%,將小鵬目標價從107元上調115元,維持「買入」評級。
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