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港股收評:恆指跌0.37%,影視股火爆,煤炭股低迷

8月18日,港股三大指數衝高回落,恆生指數最終收跌0.37%,國企指數跌0.06%,恆生科技指數上漲0.65%,盤中一度大漲2.3%,市場情緒趨於謹慎。

盤面上,大型科技股午後漲幅縮窄且部分轉跌,影視股全天強勢,互聯網醫療股集體上漲,稀土概念股、軍工股、腦機接口概念股、汽車股、蘋果概念股普遍表現活躍。

另一方面,7月地產基本面繼續走弱,內房股普遍下跌,鋼鐵股、銅業股走低,煤炭股、石油股、半導體芯片股、內銀股、海運股多數表現低迷。

具體來看:

大型科技股漲跌不一,京東、嗶哩嗶哩、網易漲超2%,百度、阿里、小米小幅收漲;快手跌1.47%,騰訊、美團飄綠。

影視股火爆,檸檬影視大漲超21%,稻草熊娛樂漲超14%,大麥娛樂漲超9%,貓眼娛樂漲超5%。消息面上,8月18日,2025年暑期檔電影票房突破百億大關。《南京照相館》以25.77億元的票房、超25%的票房佔比,提前鎖定暑期檔冠軍席位;《浪浪山小妖怪》《長安的荔枝》分別以10.16億元、6.73億元的票房居第二、第三位。燈塔專業版數據分析師表示,距暑期檔結束尚有十餘天,總票房有望提前超越去年。

汽車股走強,長城汽車漲超10%,蔚來漲超6%,零跑汽車漲超4%。消息面上,8月18日,崔東樹發佈2025年7月乘用車細分市場車型走勢。7月全國乘用車廠商批發222萬輛創當月歷史新高,同比增長13%,環比下降11%;1-7月全國乘用車廠商批發1,550萬輛,同比增長12.4%。

煤炭股走低,綠領控股跌超18%,易大宗跌超4%,中煤能源跌超3%。據統計局數據,7月份,規上工業原煤產量3.8億噸,同比下降3.8%;日均產量1229萬噸,月度環比減少174.6萬噸/天。國海證券分析表示,中期去看,美國關稅新政落地對市場情緒構成一定衝擊,市場尋求穩健性資產,煤炭高股息、現金奶牛的投資價值屬性值得關注。從大方向來看,煤炭開採行業供應端約束邏輯未變,需求端可能階段性起伏波動,價格亦呈現一定震盪和動態再平衡,頭部煤炭企業資產質量高,賬上現金流充沛,呈現“高盈利、高現金流、高壁壘、高分紅、高安全邊際”五高特徵。

黃金及貴金屬股跌幅居前,紫金礦業、赤峯黃金跌超2%,招金礦業、潼關黃金跌超1%。消息面上,特朗普最新發文稱,“在俄羅斯問題上取得重大進展”,並呼籲外界“拭目以待”。隨着俄領導人會晤釋放積極信號,地緣政治風險下降,市場避險情緒降溫。

半導體、芯片股下跌,華虹半導體跌超6%,中芯國際、上海復旦跌超1%。消息面上,特朗普上週五表示,他將在未來兩週內對半導體徵收關稅,這是他準備大幅擴大關稅制度的最新跡象。此前6月,美國將鋼鐵和鋁的進口關稅提高到50%。

今日,南向資金淨買入13.87億港元,其中港股通(滬)淨買入19.42億港元,港股通(深)淨賣出5.55億港元。

展望後市,華泰證券指出,市場處於海內外預期的關鍵驗證階段。

當下,市場處於交易主線相對缺乏、海外及國內重要事件等待驗證的關鍵階段,也正是倉位調整的窗口期,該行對後續行情並不悲觀。

中報視角下,建議關注:1)高景氣估值性價比的遊戲、互聯網電商龍頭;2)估值修復較多但業績預喜率高、增長預期有望上修的創新藥和大金融,包括香港本地金融股。

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