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特朗普“高爾夫外交”,美歐談判終極博弈倒計時!

美歐貿易談判迎來最後的關鍵時刻。

當地時間週日,美國總統特朗普和歐盟主席馮德萊恩將舉行會晤。

50%的概率

近日,特朗普去了蘇格蘭打高爾夫。

藉此機會,馮德萊恩特地跑去見特朗普,兩人將於當地時間27日舉行會談。

此前特朗普曾對外透露,美歐有五成機會達成框架性貿易協定,且歐盟方面 “非常迫切地想要達成協議”。

50%的概率,果然是特朗普廢話文學。

26日,馮德萊恩已啟程前往蘇格蘭,目前已抵達格拉斯哥,為與特朗普會晤做準備。

美國商務部長盧特尼克與美國貿易代表格里爾則預計將於27日早上抵達蘇格蘭。

對於本次美歐貿易協議,美歐官員則表示謹慎樂觀。

馮德萊恩與特朗普之前,雙方談判團隊已圍繞歐盟鋼鐵、汽車和製藥產品的關税最終水平展開爭論,過程一度相當激烈。

歐盟談判代表希望此次會談能夠敲定一項框架性貿易協議。

據外媒報道,協議核心內容包括:擬對多數歐盟商品徵收15%關税(低於原計劃8月1日實施的30%);航空、部分醫械、仿製藥、特定製造設備或獲得豁免;鋼鋁產品可獲限額配額,超限額仍將重税

現在只等特朗普一句話

自7月中旬來,特朗普向全球發起新一輪攻擊美歐上演極限拉扯

雙方貿易談判一度瀕臨破裂。

歐盟方面早前曾明確表示,如果無法在8月1日前達成滿意的貿易協議,歐盟將採取反制措施。

當地時間7月24日,歐盟成員國已投票通過了總額930億歐元的對美報復清單。

早在今年4月,歐盟對美大豆、摩托車、牛仔褲等商品實施了總額約 210 億歐元的第一輪關税措施。

實際上,目前雙方團隊已經談的差不多,崩與不崩只取決於特朗普的一句話了。

若達成協議,將緩解當前歐盟面臨的70%出口商品被加税壓力,包括汽車25%和其他工業品10%的關税。

美歐互為最大貿易伙伴,佔全球貿易的三分之一,其協議規模或將超越美日550億美元協定。

若談判失敗,美國8月1日加徵30%關税的計劃將生效,歐盟則準備報復,那麼全球貿易格局也將受到更為深遠的影響。

不過目前仍存變數。

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