《市評》恆指「五連升」 科指跌 晶片及光伏股走強
港股今日持續攀升。市場憧憬歐盟和美國即將達成關稅的協議,美股道指及納指隔晚各升1.1%及0.6%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息率升至3.889%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.394%,美匯指數跌至97.33,道指期貨最新跌143點或0.3%,納指期貨最新升78點或0.3%。上證綜指全日升23點或0.65%收3,605點,深證成指升1.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.84萬億元人民幣。。
恆指今日先跌後回升,大市低開9點,惟其後重拾升勢,一度漲197點高見25,735點,全日收報25,667點,升129點或0.5%,連升五日(累升1,168點或4.8%);國指全日升16點或0.2%,收報9,257點;恆生科技指數倒跌2點,收報5,743點。港股全日成交2,948.11億元。北水交易總成交額1,549.87億元,而南向資金今日淨流入37.19億元(上日淨流出13.2億元)。
盈富基金(02800.HK)漲0.5%,成交額逾155億元,騰訊(00700.HK)升0.9%收557元,成交額逾134億元,快手(01024.HK)回吐2.2%,內險股揚,國壽(02628.HK)漲3.2%。港交所(00388.HK)走高1.9%,花旗料拼多多(PDD.US)改聘香港安永為審計機構,反映公司或正尋求未來幾個月來港上市。
【恆指五連升 晶片股走強】
晶片股中芯(00981.HK)全日股價走高3.1%收50.25元,上海復旦(01385.HK)升近3%。星展發表報告指,作為中國唯一具備7納米製程的晶圓代工廠,中芯正受惠於終端市場需求復甦及晶片國產化加速趨勢,又指電動車市場發展蓬勃及車用晶片應用增加,亦令汽車半導體業務正成為中芯新增長引擎,預期該公司2025財年盈利將增長71%至9.45億美元,主要受產能利用率回升及毛利率改善推動。該行維持中芯「買入」評級,目標價由53.2元上調至57元。
ASMPT(00522.HK)全日股價彈高11.1%收70.2元。里昂發表報告指,ASMPT次季淨利潤低於預期11%,但第三季收入指引則較預測高出1.6%。公司受表面貼裝技術(SMT)業務帶動,次季訂單超出管理層預期,並預計第三季集團訂單將按年錄雙位數增幅。該行表示,由於SMT業務復甦,將公司2025至27年的盈測分別調升65%、11%及1%,目標價由56.6元上調至76.6元,並將評級由「持有」升至「跑贏大市」。
【升股千三隻 光伏股彈高】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為34比17(上日為28比21),上升股份1,395隻(升幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日55隻股份上升,下跌股28隻,升跌比率為65比33(上日79比20)。大市今日錄沽空353.9億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,682.83億元的13.191%(上日為12.48%)。
信義光能(00968.HK)升7.9%,為表現最佳藍籌股,同系信義玻璃(00868.HK)亦升3.6%,至於其他光伏股福萊特玻璃(06865.HK)及協鑫科技(03800.HK)各彈高7.4%及4%。鋰業股天齊鋰業(09696.HK)及贛鋒鋰業(01772.HK)股價各抽高14.1%及10.4%。
大和發表研究報告指,多種商品期貨價格普遍上漲,包括焦炭、工業矽、鋰和多晶矽。考慮到供應控制政策的預期以及中國在宣布於西藏建設世界最大水電項目後,對基礎設施需求的增加,認為中國上游大宗商品期貨價格將在短期內呈上升趨勢,從而支撐多晶矽和鋰業公司的股價。
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