華泰證券:反內卷搭臺,金屬機遇不斷
華泰證券研報表示,國內反內卷不斷加碼,疊加近期海外財政貨幣雙寬鬆的氛圍等,金屬板塊整體表現較佳:多晶硅價格成功持續修復,給予市場較大的信心,目前已外溢至碳酸鋰和氧化鋁。鋰、鈷、稀土從成本角度均已尋到價格底部,近期還有獨立因素推波助瀾觸發價格上漲:鋰基於礦權審覈趨嚴、鈷基於剛果金出口禁令、稀土是戰略性提升與短缺預期共振。基本金屬上漲行情中,鋁的關注點是紅利、銅的關注點是成長性;此外建議關注加工板塊。鋼鐵交易邏輯或從爐料讓利爲主轉向供給收縮與爐料下跌共同改善行業景氣度。
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