高盛微降美國今年核心通脹預期至3.3% 料GDP增長1%
《彭博》報道,高盛預計,美國「對等關稅」基準稅率將從10%升至15%,當中銅和關鍵礦產的關稅稅率將達到50%,可能加劇通脹並拖累經濟增長;將今年全年美國核心通脹率預測將由3.4%降至3.3%;但料2026及27年通脹率分別為2.7%及2.4%,均高於先前預測的2.6%和2%。
高盛稱,關稅將對今年的GDP增長造成1個百分點的影響,在2026年和2027年分別將造成0.4和0.3個百分點的影響。因此,預測美國今年全年的GDP增長率為1%。
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