《信而有證》恆指連創今年新高 資金尋找落後科技股 舜光購18317 瑞聲購15694
恆指企穩25000關口後繼續上攻,再刷新今年及三年高位,其後大部分時間25200-25300點附近高位爭持,即市低位亦守於25000關之上,技術形態不錯。
根據手機應用程式「信搜牛熊」數據,恆指上日好倉資金傾向流出,流出金額達逾6,000萬,與過去5日平均值比較明顯較高,流出又再加快;淡倉則錄得不少淨流入,流入金額約6,000萬,反映淡友再25000點以上做淡意欲增強。
牛熊證街貨比例回落至約65:35,資金流出繼續集中於收回價較遠的牛證明顯,貼價區域則流入繼續增強;熊證部署上相對重貨的25200點水平今日被收回,其他收回水平較為分散,沒有明顯重貨區。
牛熊證街貨分布圖:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/cbbc/os-map
即市資金流方面,恆指於25200-25300高位爭持,好淡雙方均以貼價區域作主要部署,金額上比起上日增加,即市最高牛證可選擇的收回價落於24,825點。
信證熱門牛熊證:恆指牛證(59585),收回價24,825點;恆指熊證(54744),收回價25,700點。
大市連升數日,恆指連創今年新高,不少倉位不足的投資者開始有「踏空」焦慮,開始留意一些相對落後板塊希望「上車」。恆生科技指數成份股中,「手機股」是過去表現最差之一,有機會與中美關稅形勢有關。 8月12日是中美的關稅暫緩期屆滿日,美國財長貝森特近日透露第三輪中美貿易談判將於下周一(28日)至下周二(29日)在瑞典斯德哥爾摩舉行,舜宇光學科技(02382)、瑞聲科技(02018)、比亞迪電子(00285)等「手機股」對關稅政策相對敏感,或令部分資金不敢近期買入,甚至沽出減低風險。
如看好下周中美貿易談判後形勢有樂觀改變,「手機股」望重新吸引資金流入,好倉可留意:
舜光認購證(18317),行使價100.038元,2025年12月到期,實際槓桿約4.8倍
瑞聲認購證(15694),行使價44.88元,2025年10月到期,實際槓桿約5.4倍
比電認購證(15746),行使價42.88元,2026年2月到期,實際槓桿約3.4倍
相反,如看淡市場亦有淡倉選擇:
舜光認沽證(15561),行使價58.88元,2025年12月到期,實際槓桿約4.6倍
瑞聲認沽證(15967),行使價31.5元,2026年12月到期,實際槓桿約1.6倍
更多窩輪產品及資訊:中信證券輪證網站:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/index
中信證券輪證頻道:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/education/video-channel
風險披露及免責聲明
本結構性產品並無抵押品,如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。
本資料由中信証券經紀(香港)有限公司 (「本行」或「發行人」) 編製,其僱員可能持有不時在本資料所述證券之權益 。結構性產品屬複雜產品,投資前閣下應詳閱有關上市文件,完全了解其性質及潛在風險,自行評估箇中風險,並於需要時尋求專業意見。以上資料僅供參考,並不構成購買或出售結構性產品或達成任何交易的要約、遊說、邀請、意見或建議,亦不構成投資意見或服務。結構性產品的價格可急跌或急升,投資者或會損失所有投資。牛熊證設有強制收回機制,因此有可能提早終止,在此情況下(i)N類牛熊證投資者會損失於牛熊證的全部投資;而(ii)R類牛熊證之剩餘價值則可能為零。過往表現並非未來表現的指標。本行可能是結構性產品的唯一市場參與者,而結構性產品的二級市場可能有限。~
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