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夏炒電行情火熱?高溫“暴烤”電力股,最強龍頭年內翻近2倍!

市場熱點輪動,A股“夏季炒電”行情開啓。

週一,電力股集體走強。京運通3連板,豫能控股2連板,建投能源、廊坊發展、華電遼能、晉控電力等多股漲停。

整體來看,年內漲勢最爲兇猛的爲華銀電力,今年迄今累漲近195%;樂山電力累漲超155%,豫能控股累漲超62%。

從資金流向來看,目前電力板塊淨流入28.71億元,大幅居前。

“炎”值爆表

近來,全國大範圍內遭遇極端高溫天氣。

今天,中央氣象臺繼續發佈高溫黃色預警:預計當日全國多地將有35℃以上高溫天氣陝西關中、河南中部、新疆吐魯番盆地等地局地可達40℃以上。

高溫“烤”驗之下,電力需求激增,電網負荷也屢創新高。

國家能源局最新數據顯示,入夏後全國最大電力負荷連續兩次創歷史新高,最高達14.67億千瓦,同比增長約1.5億千瓦。

其中,山東、江蘇等10個省級電網負荷累計22次刷新紀錄。

另據《中國電力行業年度發展報告2025》,綜合考慮我國當前階段的經濟增長潛力、國家宏觀調控政策措施,預計2025年全國全社會用電量同比增長5%~6%。

從行業角度看,電力企業半年度業績也在“爆”。其中:

華銀電力2025上半年淨利潤預增3600.70~4423.07%,廊坊發展上半年淨利潤預增329%,豫能控股上半年淨利潤預增321.57~379.88%,京能電力上半年淨利潤預增100.13%~131.16%……

高溫“烤熱”電力股

今年入夏以來,電力股便持續走高。

特別是在夏至節氣後(6月下旬),電力板塊漲勢愈發不可阻擋。

6月23日至今,該板塊累計漲幅超12%。

中信證券指出,2025年的夏季可能是全國甚至全球近十年最炎熱夏季,我國2025年6月氣溫突破歷史同期極值,首個高溫日比去年提前約兩週出現。

在“熱穹頂”效應和全球變暖的共同作用下,北半球普遍出現異常高溫現象,該行認爲,一方面持續的高溫會觸發投資者的肌肉記憶進行提前定價,另一方面7月中旬的颱風、降雨可能也會帶來臨時的買點。當下較爲受益的板塊:1)電力鏈;2)食品飲料;3)防曬防暑;4)空調鏈。

海通國際表示,高股息迴歸強勢。電價煤價都有上漲可能,但該行認爲煤機電價上漲空間會大於煤價。

今年下半年或將終結“過去兩年下半年電力板塊往往下跌”的現象。火電在電價市場化推進,盈利向上,分紅強化的趨勢下,應抓住市場調整的機會,長期看好。

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