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特朗普200%藥品關稅大棒砸不動?4500億藥王逆市狂飆!

週三,港A股走勢分化。

市場熱點來看,A股“反內卷”、光伏、算力、軍工等板塊聯袂上攻,滬指時隔8個月盤中再上3500點。

港股則全天震盪下行,恆指再度失守24000點

不過,創新藥、藥品股則無懼特朗普威脅,逆勢大爆發。

截至發稿,港股恆瑞醫藥大漲14%,德琪醫藥大漲近10%,開拓藥業漲超7%,綠葉製藥漲超5%,中國生物製藥、翰森製藥、石藥集團等紛紛跟漲。

自2021年起,港股藥品板塊深陷頹勢,此後幾年皆萎靡不振。

不過今年來,該板塊強勢迴歸,逐步收復失地

藥企龍頭爆發

恆瑞醫藥的強勢,帶動了醫藥板塊全線上揚。

今日午後,恆瑞醫藥AH股進一步拉昇。A股一度漲超8%報57.94元,創2021年7月以來新高。

H股一度大漲15%創上市以來新高,年內累計漲幅超55%,目前總市值4536.53億港元。

今年5月下旬,恆瑞醫藥登陸港交所,成爲近五年港股醫藥板塊最大IPO,也正式邁入“A+H”雙平臺時代。

作爲醫藥行業龍頭業務覆蓋腫瘤、代謝和心血管疾病、免疫和呼吸系統疾病以及神經科學等多個領域。

日前,恆瑞醫藥兩款藥物臨牀試驗獲批。

昨晚公司公告稱,旗下兩款藥物SHR-2173注射液及HRS-9821吸入粉霧劑,分別收到國家藥品監督管理局覈準簽發的《藥物臨牀試驗批準通知書》。

花旗報告指出,恆瑞醫藥是醫藥製藥行業領先者及創新者,同時亦是中國製藥板塊的首選股之一。

該行首次給予恆瑞醫藥H股買入評級,目標價爲134港元,A股目標價123元。

花旗認爲,其商務拓展潛力及多款重要創新藥的潛在銷售增長尚未充分反映

目前預測恆瑞醫藥2025-2027年收入將同比增長27%、18%及18%,淨利潤預測增長39%、23%及17%,收入及盈利預測較市場普遍預期高約12%-37%。

200%!特朗普威脅

從擾動因素來看,特朗普又拿藥品“開刀”。

當地時間7月8日,特朗普宣佈更多貿易協定即將出臺,其中藥品關稅可能高達200%。

不過,他說不會立即生效,將給予企業1年至1.5年調整期,以推動製藥業迴流美國。

早在今年4月,美國啓動對藥品“232調查”,並推動簡化藥品審查流程,強化本土生產。

特朗普曾多次抱怨美國製藥商對海外生產的依賴。

不過,這些動作也引發了美國製藥企業的強烈不滿。

藥企們紛紛警告稱,這些關稅可能會推高成本,阻礙在美國的投資,擾亂藥品供應鏈,使患者面臨風險。

不過目前市場猜測,特朗普此類政策也有可能是談判籌碼,實際執行概率低。

此前,特朗普在關稅政策上經常“朝令夕改”,200%的藥品關稅未來仍存諸多變數。

Leerink Partners分析師David Risinger則表示,特朗普這一聲明對醫藥行業來說是積極的。

“因爲關稅不會立即實施……而且目前尚不清楚政府未來是否會將其付諸實施。”
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