《信而有證》美團、阿里外賣大戰加劇 資金反重新吼騰訊 留意騰訊購16042 / 沽17364
美團(03690)、阿里巴巴(09988)周末輪流在內地推出外賣優惠,市場憂慮競爭加劇以及「內捲」模式或引來監管風險,兩隻股份早段分別曾跌逾4%及2%,拖累大市表現,恆指連跌兩日後,早段繼續偏軟,低位下試23,700點關。
根據手機應用程式「信搜牛熊」數據,恆指上周未能企在兩萬四以上收市,好倉連續6日錄淨流入,上日逾6,400萬資金入場,金額計對比一年平均為「極高流入」水平;淡倉亦顯著流出,上日近6,900萬離場,流出金額同樣對比近一年平均為「極高流出」水平。
牛熊證街貨比例回升至約67:33,牛證多個位置都有資金加倉,貼價的23,500點水平為新重貨區,逾1,100張相對期指作部署;熊證方面,重貨區再向下移,24,200點水平有逾800張相對期指作部署。
牛熊證街貨分布圖:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/cbbc/os-map
即市資金流方面,與近幾日趨勢相若,好淡友均傾向以貼價證入場部署,好倉23,300點至23,600水平早段亦有資金入場;個別進取的淡倉資金,則換馬至兩萬四至24,300點水平的熊證。
信證熱門牛熊證:恆指牛證(67103),收回價23,350點;恆指熊證(55313),收回價24,300點。
美團、阿里外賣大戰升級,兩隻股份的好倉早段未算非常積極入場博反彈,反觀騰訊(00700)早段重上500元大關,有好倉資金繼續跟進。
騰訊近日持續回購股份,上周五(7月4日)回購逾100萬股股份,每股回購價介乎493至501元,涉資約5億元。
騰訊近日走勢相對悶局,近兩個月主要在490元至520元水平徘徊,上星期下試100天線後有支持,上望10天、20天及50天線匯聚在500元水平。
若認為騰訊股價有望再試橫行區頂,甚至有望突破,可以留意騰訊認購證(16042),行使價600.5元,9月底到期,實際槓桿約12.8倍,早段成交活躍;相反,淡倉可留意騰訊認沽證(17364),行使價422.8元,11月到期,實際槓桿約8.6倍。
更多窩輪產品及資訊:中信證券輪證網站:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/index
中信證券輪證頻道:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/education/video-channel
風險披露及免責聲明
本結構性產品並無抵押品,如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。
本資料由中信証券經紀(香港)有限公司 (「本行」或「發行人」) 編製,其僱員可能持有不時在本資料所述證券之權益 。結構性產品屬複雜產品,投資前閣下應詳閱有關上市文件,完全了解其性質及潛在風險,自行評估箇中風險,並於需要時尋求專業意見。以上資料僅供參考,並不構成購買或出售結構性產品或達成任何交易的要約、遊說、邀請、意見或建議,亦不構成投資意見或服務。結構性產品的價格可急跌或急升,投資者或會損失所有投資。牛熊證設有強制收回機制,因此有可能提早終止,在此情況下(i)N類牛熊證投資者會損失於牛熊證的全部投資;而(ii)R類牛熊證之剩餘價值則可能為零。過往表現並非未來表現的指標。本行可能是結構性產品的唯一市場參與者,而結構性產品的二級市場可能有限。~
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