據報花旗上調中國今年GDP增長預測至5%
外電報道,花旗上調今年中國經濟增長預測,由原先4.7%上調至5%。
該行認為,隨著新經濟動能增強,內地經濟復甦的分化態勢預計持續至2025年下半年。又提到,下行風險包括持續的通貨緊縮和陷入困境的房地產行業。
花旗目前預計,下半年僅會減息10個基點,並下調存款準備金率50個基點,預期今年不會臨時預算修訂,預計透過抵押補充貸款或新型政策性金融工具,將額外提供5,000億元人民幣的準財政刺激措施。
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