《市評》恆指重上二萬四 小米成交增 內險內銀股攀升
美國總統特朗普宣佈以伊停火,以伊兩國其後先後宣佈停止攻擊,港股今日(24日)向上。美股道指及納指隔晚均升0.9%,在特朗普宣佈以伊停火不足三小時後,以色列軍方指留意到有導彈由伊朗射向以色列,而伊朗否認涉事。撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.844%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.357%,美匯指數跌0.36%至98.06,道指期貨最新升301點或0.7%,納指期貨最新升1.1%。上證綜指全日升38點或1.2%收3,420點,深證成指升1.7%,滬深兩市成交額共1.41萬億元人民幣。
恆指高開143點後升幅擴大,曾升540點高見24,229點,全日升487點或2.1%,收24,177點,連升三日(累升939點或4%);國指全日升163點或1.9%,收8,760點;恆生科技指數升110點或2.1%,收5,297點。大市全日成交總額按日升21%至2,404.82億元。北水交易總成交額1,212.61億元,而南向資金今日淨買入25.89億元(上日淨買入78.95億元)。港交所(00388.HK)全日揚近4%收414.8元。
中資金融股攀升,中國平安(02318.HK)全日彈高5.2%,建行(00939.HK)破頂升2.6%收8元,工行(01398.HK)漲1.9%收6.4元創新高。
【重上二萬四 小米成交增】
車股造好,市場關注小米(01810.HK)推出YU7,小米升3.7%報56.9元,成交125.77億元居港股成交榜首。零跑(09863.HK)、理想(02015.HK)及長汽(02333.HK)各漲3.8%至4.3%,吉利(00175.HK)、小鵬(09868.HK)及比亞迪(01211.HK)升3.2%至3.3%。鋰業股贛鋒鋰業(01772.HK)及天齊鋰業(09696.HK)升6%及5.6%。
大和發表報告指,小米的IoT業務高端化推動其長期增長,集團透過新增家電產品實現物聯網產品線多元化,且長期關注物聯網高端化及海外擴展,重申小米「買入」評級,12個月目標價從70元上調至78元,基於2025至2026年平均38倍市盈率。該行認爲,小米物聯網業務作爲2025至2027年預計的主要盈利驅動力之一,以及其「人×車×家」三管齊下策略的核心組成部分,常被市場忽視。大和表示,隨着小米現將目光投向物聯網海外擴展,預測該集團2024至2028年收入年均複合增長率(CAGR)爲30.1%。
【升股千四隻 新東方抽升】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率爲35比14(上日爲27比19),上升股份1,425只(升幅3.2%),恆指成份股今日75只股份上升,下跌股7只,升跌比率爲88比8(上日68比27)。大市今日錄沽空323.43億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,116.02億元的15.285%(上日爲18.253%)。
油價顯着下挫,中海油(00883.HK)及中海油服(02883.HK)跌1.1%及4.1%,中石化油服(01033.HK)下挫15.9%。山東墨龍(00568.HK)大成交跌23.4%,成交29.6億元。航運股太平洋航運(02343.HK)急吐16.5%。
新東方-S(09901.HK)全日股價彈高8.7%收40.7元,爲升幅最大藍籌股,高盛發表中國教育股行業報告,料中國教育行業的兩大巨頭(新東方及好未來(TAL.US))在2026財年將高度重視營運效率,料新東方2026財年核心收入按年增長13%,估計非通用會計準則營運利潤率可按年升0.8個百分點至12.8%,核心淨利潤按年增長18%。在在兩大巨頭中,該行更看好新東方的短期利潤率提升可見性以及股東回報政策的潛在上行空間(例如定期分紅政策),這可能使其在過去一年的估值下行後實現回升。高盛上調新東方目標價由42元升至45元。
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