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《市評》恆指止連跌 中資金融股揚 泡泡瑪特走弱
恆指連跌三日(累跌823點或3.4%)後,今日(20日)回升。美國白宮發言人指美國總統特朗普將在兩周內決定是否攻打伊朗,美股隔晚(19日)因六月節假期休市,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.946%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.403%,美匯指數跌0.3%至98.6,道指期貨最新跌119點或0.3%,納指期貨最新跌0.37%。上證綜指全日跌2點或0.07%收3,359點,深證成指跌0.5%,滬深兩市成交額共近1.07萬億元人民幣。 恆指今早高開53點後升幅擴大,曾升300點一度高見23,538點,全日升292點或1.3%,近高收23,530點;國指升116點或1.4%,收8,527點;恆生科技指數升44點或0.8%,收5,133點。大市全日成交總額2,224.23億元。 恆指本周累跌362點或1.5%、國指本周累跌128點或1.5%、恆生科指本周累跌106點或2.1%。以色列向伊朗發動空襲,攻擊伊朗境內核設施及軍事目標,地緣局勢緊張令油價抽升,投資者亦觀望美國會否介入。而美聯儲局周中維持利率不變符預期,且暗示不急於減息。 【恆指止連跌 內銀內險揚】 中資金融股造好,工行(01398.HK)及建行(00939.HK)全日股價上揚2.8%及3.3%。投資者預期高息保單產品減少,內險股國壽(02628.HK)炒高4.7%,人保(01339.HK)、中國太平(00966.HK)、中國平安(02318.HK)及太保(02601.HK)升2.8%至3.4%。部份內房股造好,富力(02777.HK)升5.5%,新城(01030.HK)及融創(01918.HK)升4.1%及3.6%。 內地信貸評級機構東方金誠發表報告指出內地6月兩個期限品種的LPR報價保持不變,符合市場預期,料短期內將進入政策觀察期,LPR報價有可能繼續保持穩定。往後看,下半年外部環境仍面臨很大不確定性,在大力提振內需、「更大力度推進房地產市場止跌回穩」過程中,LPR報價還有下調空間。該行指考慮到下半年穩樓市政策需進一步加力,特別是5月7日人行宣布下調公積金貸款利率0.25個百分點,為後期居民商業房貸利率下調打開空間,預計下半年監管層有可能通過單獨引導五年期以上LPR報價下行等方式,推動居民房貸利率更大幅度下調。這是現階段緩解實際房貸利率偏高問題,激發購房需求,扭轉樓市預期的關鍵一招。 【升股千一隻 泡泡瑪特弱】 港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為27比19(上日為10比39),上升股份1,108隻(升幅2.5%),恆指成份股今日66隻股份上升,下跌股11隻,升跌比率為78比13(上日2比98)。大市今日錄沽空360.47億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,980.47億元的18.201%(上日為16.742%)。 新型消費股走個別,蜜雪(02097.HK)全日升4.1%,老鋪黃金(06181.HK)漲0.7%,毛戈平(01318.HK)升0.3%,但泡泡瑪特(09992.HK)下滑3.6%收239.6元,布魯可(00325.HK)下挫9.7%。 官媒發文籲加強盲卡盲盒監管,《人民日報》發表題為「盲卡盲盒哪能『無拘無束』」文章,但未有點名任何企業名稱,指近年來盲卡在兒童青少年中迅速走紅,非理性消費屢見不鮮,部分孩子為追求稀有卡牌高價消費。盲卡利用「未知驚喜」吸引未成年人,成為社交「硬通貨」,但卻隱藏「商業陷阱」,誘導沖動消費。雖然相關法規已有指導,但因缺乏嚴格身份驗證,落實難度大,未成年人保護面臨挑戰。文章亦引述專家建議,稱未成年人不具備完全民事行為能力,不能隨意購買高價盲卡。相關部門應當給盲卡盲盒出台嚴格的規章制度,加強對未成年人的保護。
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