《市評》恆指三連跌 泡泡瑪特吐逾5% 海天味業首掛微升
市場關注以色列與伊朗局勢轉趨緊張、美國會否介入,港股今日(19日)持續向下。美聯儲局宣布維持利率不變符預期,且暗示不急於減息,聯儲局公布反映官員對未來利率走勢預測的「點陣圖」顯示,今年底聯邦基金利率為3.9厘,意味聯儲局將減息0.5厘。美股道指及納指隔晚(18日)各跌0.1%及升0.1%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息跌至3.939%,美國10年期債券孳息處於4.391%,美匯指數處於98.91,道指期貨最新跌196點或0.4%,納指期貨最新跌0.5%。上證綜指全日跌26點或0.8%收3,362點,深證成指跌1.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.25萬億元人民幣。
恆指今早低開90點,初段跌幅收窄至57點一度高見23,653點後向下,午市曾跌525點曾低見23,185點,全日跌472點或2%,收23,237點,連跌三日(累跌823點或3.4%);國指全日跌183點或2.1%,收8,410點;恆生科技指數跌126點或2.4%,收5,088點。大市全日成交總額2,200.99億元。北水交易總成交額1,188.61億元,而南向資金今日淨買入14.27億元(上日淨買入12.42億元)。黃金股普遍造淡,紫金(02899.HK)下滑3.8%,靈寶黃金(03330.HK)挫8.7%。
公開發售獲918倍認購的海天味業(03288.HK)今日首日掛牌上市,全日收36.5元,較上市價36.3元,高0.6%,首日成交28.85億元。港交所(00388.HK)走低3.5%收389.8元。
【恆指三連跌 消費股受壓】
消費股受壓,蒙牛(02319.HK)及名創優品(09896.HK)分別走低3.7%及3.8%,九毛九(09922.HK)及呷哺呷哺(00520.HK)分別下滑4.7%及9.2%。新型消費股向下,蜜雪(02097.HK)跌3.6%,毛戈平(01318.HK)及老鋪黃金(06181.HK)各下滑6.3%至6.4%。泡泡瑪特(09992.HK)全日股價下滑5.3%收248.6元,摩根士丹利發表更新港股焦點股名單,剔出泡泡瑪特,新納入中國財險(02328.HK)。
匯豐銀行最優惠利率維持5.25%不變,匯控(00005.HK)全日股價跌0.7%收91.2元,恆生銀行(00011.HK)走低1.5%,中銀香港(02388.HK)跌1.3%。匯豐環球研究發表報告,預測今年和明年累計降息75個基點,反映該行認為美通脹將在此期間遠高於當局2%的通脹目標。該行預計美聯儲局在今年9月、12月和明年3月各降息25個基點。
【跌股千六隻 攜程美團弱】
港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為10比39(上日為18比27),下跌股份1,605隻(跌幅近3%),恆指成份股今日2隻股份上升,下跌股83隻,升跌比率為2比98(上日14比84)。大市今日錄沽空318.16億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,900.3億元的16.742%(上日為15.179%)。
市場關注京東-SW(09618.HK)進入旅遊業,京東及美團-W(03690.HK)全日股價各下滑3.6%及3.8%,攜程-S(09961.HK)及同程(00780.HK)跌4%及10.6%。
花旗研究報告指,京東集團日前公布酒店商家參與「京東酒店PLUS會員計劃」,享受最高3年零佣金。該行料行業格局短期內將有一些不確定性,認為對於新加入市場的營運者而言,要提供酒店供應並不難,但一般酒店會提供客房予可以帶來大量且穩定客源的線上中介平台,尤其是旺季時的旅遊熱門地點。另外,要通過補貼獲得用戶相對容易,但留住用戶則較困難,因需要穩定的產品供應和客戶服務能力。該行相信現有的線上旅遊中介平台可透過更嚴格的供應鏈控制來反擊京東。
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