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資金火熱爆炒低價油氣股,最強妖股5天狂飆1263%!

伊以火燒中東,也燒沸了油價市場。

自雙方相互炮轟以來,國際油價在高位震盪中上漲了約10%。

及此,港A油氣股也聞聲而起,近來部分個股遭資金炒的熱火朝天

這其中,一批“妖氣沖天”的港股低價油氣股更是走出了驚天漲幅。

週四,中油潔能控股盤中一度暴漲超170%,收漲逾138%;金泰能源控股收漲超52%,陽光油砂漲超42%。

“最強妖股”吉星新能源延續瘋狂,盤中一度漲超82%,收漲超34%。

近5個交易日,在一衆矇眼狂奔的低價油氣股中,吉星新能源瘋狂飆了1263%,中油潔能控股累漲超263%。

美國“下場”?

中東炮火連天,地緣政治風險正助推油氣股的瘋狂。

伊以“火拼”進入第七天,全球市場對中東石油斷供的擔憂不斷加劇。

眼下美國是否介入成最大變數。

據特朗普最新暗示,美國可能要“下場”了。

另外美媒爆料,特朗普已批準打擊伊朗計劃,暫未下達最終命令。

美國高層官員正爲對伊朗發動打擊做準備。部分聯邦機構高層已啓動預案,潛在行動時間指向本週末。

昨天,伊朗方面強硬表態“不會投降”,並警告美國不要插手。

隨着中東博弈升級,伊朗似乎做好了魚死網破的準備。

華爾街分析師們紛紛發出警告:一旦美國介入以伊衝突,全球金融市場、能源市場勢必將迎來重大沖擊。

Spartan Capital Securities首席經濟學家Peter Cardillo分析稱,金價會飆升,美債收益率可能會下降,美元可能會反彈。

花旗則警告,油價大幅上漲“將對全球經濟構成負面供給衝擊,降低增長並推高通脹——這將給已在努力應對關稅風險的各國央行帶來進一步挑戰”。

油價將起飛?

掌控着“中東油閥”的伊朗,此前已多次提及封鎖霍爾木茲海峽。

伊朗前經濟部長早前已經放出威脅稱,要封鎖關鍵航道這也就意味着,全球約20%石油貿易將受阻。

一旦衝突升級導致海峽封鎖,國際油價將如脫繮野馬。

據國際能源署(IEA)緊急評估,全面封鎖可能使油價短期內突破每桶150美元,觸發全球性通脹海嘯。

Capital Economics也預測,油價可能從目前的75美元飆升至130美元或更高,引發股市拋售並提高全球經濟衰退概率。

摩根大通稱,如果美國或以色列的軍事行動導致伊朗政權更迭,全球油價將長期大幅上漲。

歷史數據顯示,自1979年以來,主要產油國發生重大政權更迭時,原油價格與危機前水平相比,最高飆升了約76%,最終穩定在比危機前高出約30%的水平。

該行警告,在極端地緣政治形勢下,原油供應會受到嚴重影響,預計油價可能會翻倍至120到130美元。

目前,全球最大石油和天然氣貿易商之一的殼牌也發出警告稱,若霍爾木茲海峽被封鎖,將產生“巨大影響”。

公司已制定應急計劃,以防以色列和伊朗之間的衝突擾亂該地區的油氣運輸。

另據路透最新稱,俄美沙可能聯合行動以穩定石油市場。

俄羅斯直接投資基金(RDIF)負責人德米特里耶夫稱,基於2020年採取類似行動的先例,俄羅斯、美國和沙特採取聯合行動穩定石油市場是可能的。

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