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大新銀行:中東衝突升級 短線有望支持油價表現
阿思達克 06-13 15:55
大新銀行經濟研究及投資策略部發表最新市場快訊指,中東緊張局勢迅速升溫,以色列空軍對伊朗多處核計劃及彈導導彈設施發動空襲,伊朗革命衛隊總司令及多名科學家據報身亡。另外,美國與伊朗上月底的第五輪核問題談判陷入僵局,伊朗早前警告,如果談判破裂而伊朗遭到襲擊,將報復美國在中東的軍事資產。 市場憂慮中東主要原油供應或中斷,刺激國際油價今早曾急漲逾一成,紐約期油急升14%至每桶77.6美元,創四個半月高位。市場憂慮襲擊可能引發中東地區新的軍事衝突,避險貨幣及資產上揚,現貨金升逾1%至每盎司逾3,440美元以上;日圓及瑞郎兌美元分別一度升0.5至0.6%。 亞太區股市今早偏軟,日股收市跌0.9%,恆生指數一度跌約1%,失守23,800點,其後跌幅收窄,中國內地A股跌近1%。 該行認為,中東緊張局勢升溫或干擾原油供應,短線有望支持油價表現,惟特朗普政府關稅政策前景仍具不確定性,加上石油輸出國組織計劃增產,或續限制油價表現。該行中線維持看淡油價,並繼續觀望中東局勢發展。避險情緒短線或續支持金價走勢,繼續看好金價前景。
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