郭思治:大市續創6月份之新高
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過週二(10日)之小許回吐及消化後,昨日(11日)在維穩買盤支持下再進一步創月內之新高,恆指昨早市先輕微高開29點至24,191點,其後曾略為拉鋸至24,179點,但由於沽壓並不明顯,加上維穩買盤又再滲著湧現,故整個大市卒開始在緩步中逐漸推上至24,439點方漸受規限,即大市又再創月內新高,相對本月之低位暫仍為2日之22,668點計,本月之波幅已再擴闊至1,771點,而從目前大市之市勢看,恆指該仍會處續尋頂之趨勢中,恆指最後報收24,366點,較上日升204點,全日總成交金額為2,351億元。
拉闊一點看,今年大市首個中期升浪是由1月13日之低位18,671點升至3月19日之高位24,874點,累積之升幅為6,203點,而第二個中期升浪則是由4月9日之低位19,260點開始,至6月11日之高位24,439點止計,這潮升浪之升幅為5,179點,相對首中期升浪計確為不足,但一日恆指仍能持續穩守在10天線之上,即表示這潮升浪仍未完,只要動力配合,大市仍有機會再進一步往上尋新高,前文已述,以今年大市之波幅暫為6,203點計,相對確仍偏細,假如今年大市之波幅有約7,000點至7,500點,則年內之高位已可憧憬一試25,671點至26,171點,如有利好消息配合,年內之波幅更可望擴闊至8,000點或以上,即是說,整個中期後市該可看高一線。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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