郭思治:大市明顯推升 但動力稍不相配
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(3日)在維穩買盤支持下上升,而恆指更伺機重越20天線(約在23,344點左近)及10天線(約在23,443點左近),恆指昨早市先高開123點至23,281點,其後在買盤支持下再進一步升至23,535點方漸受規限,由於高台買盤略見保守,故大市卒進入整固之中,惟恆指大部份時間均穩企於10天線之上,單從技術上看,大市不但已漸擺脫反覆欲試底之弱態,且只要買盤不退,短期後市該可再進一步上升,再從走勢上看,本月癬市已初呈先低而後高,恆指暫是由2日之低位22,668點升至3日之高位23,535點,即月內之波幅暫為867點,由於一個月之高低位是不會同時出現於兩個交易日之內,加上867點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,定必有更大之波幅點出現,恆指最後報收手23,512點,較上日升354點,全日總成交金額為2,036億元。
拉闊一點看,大市自4月9日低位19,260點開始之反彈,止步於5月21日之高位23,917點,即此潮小升浪之升幅為4,657點,其後出現技術性回調,大市自5月21日高位23,917點開始之回調,至6月2日低位22,668點止計,恆指共回調1249點,即已回調升幅4,657點之26.8%,論跌幅該屬一般,但由於大市其後快速反彈,並於3日一度高見23,535點,即其時恆指已重越20天線及10天線,單從技術上看,大市暫該已擺脫調整欲試底之弱態,至於短期後市能否伺機試頂,則需視乎資金之入市態度而定。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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