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郭思治:昨大市稍見反彈 恆指乘勢重越10天線
阿思達克 05-30 09:18
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,昨天(29日)大市在維穩買盤支持下稍見反彈,且恆指亦伺機略輕越10天線(約在23,483點左近),恆指昨早市先輕微高開18點至23,240點,其後曾再稍跌至23,207點方漸見喘定,在維穩買盤支持下,大市開始緩步回升,而恆指亦順勢反彈至23,603點方漸受規限,即此刻恆指已稍重越10天線,單從技術上看,大市如能持續穩守在10天線之上,該表示大市暫已擺脫進一步試底之弱態,但要留意的是,由於大市之交投仍持續偏疏,故在動力不配之下,短期後市即使能再稍作推升,但可能亦只屬波幅性之後抽而已,恆指最後報收23,573點,較上日升315點,全日總成交金額為2,268億元。 不妨拉闊一點看,直到執筆一刻止計,本年大市已出現一個高低腳式之小雙底,分別為1月13日之低位18,671點及4月9日之低位19,260點,另外,大市亦同時出現一個高低頂式之小雙頂,分別為3月19日之高位24,874點及5月17日之高位23,917點,值得留意的是,第二個底及第二個頂均未見突破,即是說,大市暫不論如何波動,暫仍無法走出18,671點至24,874點之框架,如情況依然,整個大市暫時仍會續處波幅性之上落市,而由於恆指目前相距年內之底頗遠,故需慎防後市仍會有較明顯之回調,因此,任何投機性之短炒行動,似乎暫不宜過急及過勇,同時亦需做好一切風險管理。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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