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高盛料8月OPEC+每日增產41萬桶 年內布油平均價60美元
高盛發表報告中,OPEC+決定在7月大幅增產每日41.1萬桶,預計OPEC+將在7月6日會議上決定8月實現每日增產41萬桶,因現貨石油基本上面相對緊張、全球經濟活動數據好於預期,以及夏季季節性石油需求,相信需求放緩不太可能急劇到足以令8月停止增產。 高盛預計,由於第三季全球經濟增長放緩以及非OPEC國家新的大型項目正在增加,OPEC+將從9月起維持產量,預計在今年剩餘時間內,布蘭特原油平均價格爲每桶60美元,紐約期油平均價格爲每桶56美元,而明年兩者的價格將分別爲每桶56美元及52美元,以反映美國頁巖油以外的供應增長將導致今明兩年石油過剩將分別爲每日100萬桶及150萬桶。
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