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貿易緩和,市場漲勢喜人

一、市場漲勢喜人

今日A股市場表現更爲強勁。從開盤起,上證指數以3341.85點高開,隨後穩步上行;深證成指開盤報10039.25點,創業板指開1996.49點。截止收盤,上證指數收於3363.45點,上漲0.7%,深證指數收於10127.2點,上漲1.24%,創業板指數收於2012.55點,上漲1.37%。

板塊方面,計算機、汽車、電子、醫藥生物、機械設備、國防軍工等多個行業板塊盤中漲幅一度超過1.5%。美容護理、石油石化等板塊表現相對疲弱。

二、科技雙主線引爆市場

在概念板塊中,EDA概念和汽車板塊表現最爲亮眼,成爲推動市場人氣的雙引擎。

EDA概念板塊整體漲幅一度超過6%,概倫電子盤中“20cm”漲停,廣立微、華大九天盤中漲幅均一度超過15%,多隻相關個股大幅上漲。這一板塊的強勢表現,與美國可能對EDA軟件出口實施新限制的報道密切相關,市場預期國內企業在政策支持下將加速技術突破。

無人駕駛概念表現同樣搶眼,雲內動力、通達電氣實現4連板,掀起漲停潮。數字貨幣概念股同步大漲,雄帝科技、海聯金匯、四方精創、天陽科技等多隻個股漲停。

三、大漲背後的三重推力

1、政策利好釋放流動性

央行今日以利率招標方式開展2660億元7天期逆回購操作,中標利率1.40%。由於當日僅有1545億元逆回購到期,單日實現淨投放1115億元,爲市場注入流動性活水。

5月金融政策組合拳持續發力。央行此前已宣佈下調金融機構存款準備金率0.5個百分點,下調政策利率0.1個百分點,並設立5000億元“服務消費與養老再貸款”。

2、貿易緊張局勢緩解

消息面上,美國聯邦法院裁定特朗普關稅政策越權,阻止了其4月2日宣佈的“對等關稅”政策生效。這一裁決顯著緩解了全球貿易緊張局勢,爲市場風險偏好回升創造了條件。

劍橋全球支付公司首席市場策略師卡爾·沙莫塔指出:“特朗普對歐盟的關稅威脅在週末快速反轉,提振了市場風險偏好並減少了對美國經濟增長的負面看法。”

3、資金結構化調整

市場內部,資金從銀行板塊迴流中小創,形成良性的板塊輪動。電子板塊主力資金大幅度流入,成爲當日資金追捧的焦點,山子高科強勢漲停。

內資拋壓明顯減輕。數據顯示,5月13日至28日,內資連續12個交易日淨流出,累計超過2500億元。今日內資流向逆轉,爲市場反彈提供了動力。

中長期資金入市步伐加快。今年以來,社保、保險、年金等中長期資金累計淨買入A股超過2000億元。金融監管總局即將批覆第三批保險資金長期投資改革試點600億元,三批試點資金規模合計達2220億元。

四、後市展望

監管層持續發聲穩定股市預期,“國家隊”、保險資金、社保等中長期資金入市將有力支撐A股底部區間,助力市場穩中有漲。

板塊輪動方面,隨着市場完成高低切換,6月可能迎來題材概念補漲行情。類似2024年5月權重板塊上漲後,後期題材概念有所補漲的走勢。

隨着板塊輪動效應顯現,前期滯漲的科技成長股今日集體發力。若量能持續溫和放大,A股有望在6月迎來一輪題材概念補漲行情。

掃碼加下方助理企微,回覆“前坤投資”可獲取【前坤投資圈爲期兩週每日直播覆盤及每天實時更新的股池配置】(每人限領一次)

注意:文中所提個股和題材板塊不構成任何推薦,僅爲覆盤和學習交流所用,投資決策需建立在自我獨立理性思考和專業研判之上,市場有風險,投資需謹慎。

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