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公募基金4月規模增長9000億至33.12萬億,貨基規模單月飆升超6000億
格隆匯 05-28 10:55

中基協數據顯示,截至2025年4月底,中國公募基金資產淨值合計33.12萬億元相比3月的32.22萬億增長了8985.04億。

具體來看公募基金各細分類型的4月規模情況:

股票基金:4月規模為4.58萬億元,較3月增加1120.44億元,環比增長2.51%。

混合基金:4月規模為3.58萬億元,較3月減少12.73億元,環比微降0.04%。

債券基金:4月規模為6.56萬億元,較3月增加1401.82億元,環比增長2.18%。

貨幣基金:4月規模為13.99萬億元,較3月增加6648.39億元,環比增長5.00%,是總規模增長的核心驅動力。

QDII基金:4月規模為6440.24億元,較3月增加82.94億元,環比增長1.31%。

由以上數據可以看出,貨幣基金單月增量佔總規模增長的 74%,反映出投資者對低風險、高流動性資產的偏好。這一現象可能與4月貨幣政策寬鬆(如降準)、市場風險偏好下降有關。

從理財規模來看,相比去年底,近30萬億元存續規模的銀行理財市場在一季度縮減了0.81萬億元。

銀行業理財登記託管中心發佈的《中國銀行業理財市場季度報吿(2025年一季度)》顯示,截至一季度末,銀行理財產品規模達到29.14萬億元,同比增長9.41%。固定收益類產品存續規模為28.33萬億元,佔比97.22%,同比增加0.57個百分點。

4月25日,中央政治局會議部署“加強超常規逆週期調節”,“要加緊實施更加積極有為的宏觀政策”,並要求“適時降準降息,保持流動性充裕,加力支持實體經濟”。這一會議精神為後續貨幣政策“雙降”定下基調。

貨幣寬鬆似乎已在重塑中國金融格局。進入二季度以來,理財規模不斷創下新高,5月已經突破了31萬億元大關。

從多家銀行理財子公司和普益處獲得的數據顯示,截至5月20日,理財總規模達到約31.3萬億元,相較年初大升約1.6萬億元,2024年12月時為29.68萬億元。理財子公司人士對記者表示,規模增長最多的主要是短期限產品,“存款替代”的效應開始體現

不過銀行理財規模雖回升至31.3萬億元,但貨幣基金憑藉更高的流動性和穩定性仍吸引了大量資金流入。

除了貨幣基金,債券基金也一改此前淨流出的態勢,4月規模增長1401.82億元至6.56萬億,元,份額獲資金淨申購716.83億份。

權益市場方面,股票基金獲市場淨申購1093億份,規模大增1120.44億元,其中股票型 ETF 資金4月淨流入規模高達2064億元,推動股票基金規模增長。

儘管混合基金份額增加26.46億份,但淨值下跌抵消了份額增長的影響,規模小幅下滑12.73億元。A股4月震盪下跌,上證指數、滬深300同期分別下跌1.7%、3%。

QDII基金規模4月增長主要來自存量產品淨值提升,而非新發基金(4 月無新 QDII 基金髮行)。

海外市場方面,納斯達克指數、德國DAX、和日經225指數4月分別上升0.85%、1.5%和1.2%。

綜上所述,若貨幣政策進一步寬鬆,貨幣基金規模可能繼續增長,但收益率下行壓力或影響長期吸引力。

如近日,多家銀行或理財子公司發佈理財產品業績比較基準下調公吿,部分產品調整幅度超過100個基點,業績比較基準下限低於2%。

在利率震盪下行環境下,中長期純債和 “固收 +” 產品仍具配置價值。

今日有銀行個金業務人士提及,早前暢銷的是現金管理類、純債類產品,今年以來隨着股市回暖,加入少量權益資產的“固收+”策略也開始受到歡迎,不乏理財子公司發行了港股策略的產品。

權益基金方面,市場對經濟復甦的預期將主導資金流向,指數型產品和行業主題 ETF 或保持活躍。

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