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調查:經濟學家上調今年中國經濟增長預測至4.5% 惟憂通縮壓力加劇
《彭博》在過去一週對67位經濟學家及分析師的調查顯示,預計今年中國經濟增長4.5%,高於上次調查時的4.2%中值,但預計通縮壓力將會惡化,全年通脹或僅上升0.3%,亦低於4月時預測的0.4%。 較早時,中國與美國同意大幅降低關稅90日,經濟學家預計今年中國出口將按年增長1.1%,而4月時則預期爲下跌1%。 由於貿易環境有所改善,市場已降低中國對經濟的支持力度。調查發現,經濟學家預計人行僅可能會在第四季度將7天期逆回購操作利率下調10個點子,以及將存款準備金率將下調50個點子。
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