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郭思治:大市反彈並再輕越50天線
阿思達克 12-13 08:47
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(12日)在維穩買盤支持下明顯回升,恆指昨早市先輕微高開58點至20,213點,其後曾略爲拉鋸至20,121點,但由於沽壓並不明顯,加上維穩買盤開始主動,故整個大市卒在緩步中升至20,546點方漸受規限,即是說,恆指又再度輕越50天線(約在20,313點左近),單從技術上看,由於此刻大市又再企於各組平均移動線之上,論形態該有利於短期後市再候機試頂,而所指的頂,暫該爲本月10日之高位21,070點,恆指最後報收20,397點,較上日升242點,全日總成交金額爲1,577億元。 再看移動線方面之表現,目前50天線約位於20,313點左近,而10天線則已上升至19,920點左近、至於20天線亦已升至19684點左近,從走勢上看,只要恆指能持續穩企於20,400點之上,即表示大市仍能穩守於上述三組移動線之上,當不需擔心本月大市之形態會有變,惟大市如欲再上試本月高位,則恆指必需在成功升越50天線後穩守其上,另外,大市之成交金額亦必需再見暢旺,因動力如不相配,大市之升勢定必受規限。 踏進12月後,傳統均會有基金之粉飾廚窗活動,而從市內所見,不少股份之表現至一直優於大市,部份更持續緊扣年內高位附近,亦有不少是一直處窄幅整固之中,單從走勢上看,相關股份該正受基金之粉飾中,照此看,本月大市之表現該不會太差,至少可抱着技術性之上望憧憬。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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