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郭思治:大市技術上仍反覆於10天線之下
阿思達克 03-04 08:52
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市已開始步入3月份之上旬,而經過上週五(28日)之一輪大幅急跌後,技術上確曾稍作明顯反彈,而恆指亦順勢略爲重越10天線(約在23,181點左近),惟由於買盤態度保守,故大市之升勢不但未能持續,且10天線亦因而再度失守,單從技術上看,目前大市該正身處大幅急升後之正常消化及回吐中,畢竟,恆指自1月13日低位18,671點開始之升浪,至2月27日高位24,076點止計,在短短七週內,累積之升幅已有達5,405點,論升幅確實不算小,且升勢亦頗爲偏促,故一旦買盤卻步,定必招來伺高回吐之獲利沽盤,因此大市稍作明顯回吐乃正常現象,問題是大市需回調多少及多久而已。 昨天(3日)大市先高開194點至23,135點,其後曾再進一步上升464點至23,405點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又再滲着涌現,故整個大市卒再見反覆,而恆指亦順勢回落至22,861點方漸見喘定,由於大市之方向略帶不明,故市內之觀望氣氛亦漸濃,因此成交金額亦明顯萎縮,在動力不配之下,估計整個大市會漸陷反覆拉鋸之中,亦不排除大市會在本月上旬時份先稍作反覆,但如大市出現先低,則對短期後市反而有利,因先低自有機會漸發展成後高,恆指最後報收23,006點,較上日升64點,全日總成交金額爲3,018億元。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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